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  • Peng GENG, Haojie YANG, Fanglin XUE, Yan LIU
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 43-50.

    To address the current challenges of lacking unmanned detection systems amid frequent forest fires and inefficient personnel evacuation during uncontrolled fire scenarios,this article proposes a forest fire safety detection method based on collaborativeMUAVs and an optimized shelter location strategy. A dynamic forest fire spread model coupled with multiple influencing factors is developed on the NetLogo platform. MUAVscollaborative search mechanism,grounded in an improved ant colony algorithm,is enhanced by introducing attractive pheromones (guiding searches toward fire clusters) and repellent pheromones (avoiding redundant paths),thereby optimizing the transfer probability of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) flight directions. Additionally,a flight model incorporating obstacle avoidance and water-carrying capacity-speed constraints was established. A dynamic evacuation simulation environment was constructed using geographic information system (GIS) data from Rhodes Island,Greece. Experimental results demonstrate that the improved ant colony algorithm reduces convergence time by 15% and 14% under 50% and 60% tree density scenarios,respectively,while search coverage increases by 35.02% and 32.16%. Furthermore,optimized shelter placement combined with the A* algorithm-based evacuation strategy reduces the overall mortality rate by 2.525%.

  • Hao SHAO, Yi CAI, Tao YANG, Zhengyan WU, Huan HU, Zhiyuan YAO
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 51-58.

    To investigate the methane DDT distance and maximum explosion pressure (Pmax) in shale fractures,a multi-scale adjustable 3D planar slit detonation system was developed. Experiments with methane-oxygen premixed gas under 4 different hydraulic diameters,along with numerical simulations,were conducted to examine shale gas combustion under high pressure. Results show that methane-oxygen premixed gas can sustain self-propagating explosion within a hydraulic diameter range of 1.9 to 11.43 mm. Both Pmax and peak pressure rise rate increase linearly with initial pressure. Under a hydraulic diameter of 11.43 mm,Pmax closely approaches theoretical detonation pressure. As the hydraulic diameter decreases,the Pmax-to-initial pressure ratio decreases. The initial pressure and the DDT distance follow a power-law relationship. Increasing the initial pressure or reducing the hydraulic diameter can shorten the DDT distance,thereby accelerating the DDT. The simulation shows that methane-oxygen premixed gas explosions can produce an overpressure of 330 MPa,capable of fully fracturing rock cracks.

  • Shanmei LI, Duanyang WANG, Rui TANG, Yanwei LI, Jinhui LI, Yahong JI
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 59-66.

    To improve the safety of air traffic operations,a delay level prediction method based on the combination of spatiotemporal association rule mining and deep learning was proposed. Firstly,the average flight delay time and delay rate were selected as airport delay metrics,and their spatial-temporal correlation characteristics were analyzed. Secondly,the airport delay levels were identified based on Fuzzy-C Means (FCM)clustering algorithm,and the spatiotemporal association rules of airport delay were mined based on (FP(Frequent Pattern)Growth) algorithm. Thirdly,sample data was constructed based on association rules and delay time series,which was put into LSTM model to predict the future airport delay levels. At the same time,attention mechanism was introduced into the prediction model to learn the influence of different rules on prediction. Finally,the actual US flight data were collected for example analysis. The results show that the average prediction accuracy of overall delay levels reaches 0.91 and the prediction accuracy of different periods is all larger than 80%. The connection weight of the attention layer network reflects the influence of each rule on the prediction,which can be used to explain the prediction results.

  • Mingyao WEI, Haoqi HUANGFU, Kang GAO, Chunqin LU, Liyuan YU, Shigen FU
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 67-75.

    To address the oil-type gas emission hazard in coal-oil-gas coexisting mines,a quantitative risk assessment technology has been proposed. Firstly,the stability of the coal seam roof and floor strata was identified as a key parameter for evaluating oil-type gas gushing. The horizontal resistivity distribution uniformity was used to characterize strata stability. A direct current resistivity method was employed to investigate the resistivity distribution characteristics of the roof and floor strata,and a dynamic quantitative detection method for strata stability based on the resistivity variation coefficient was proposed. Additionally,comprehensive consideration of geological structures was integrated,supplemented by static parameters such as mining-induced damage depth,mechanical properties,permeability of the strata,and fault structures. Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) based on variable weight theory was employed to quantitatively calculate the weight of each factor relative to the evaluation indicators,thereby establishing a comprehensive quantitative evaluation method for oil-type gas gushing risks. Finally,the proposed method was applied to quantitatively assess the oil-type gas gushing risks in two typical areas of the Huangling mining area. The results align with field data from actual oil-type gas extraction boreholes,validating the method's reliability.

  • Xilong XUE, Jiale LI, Shuanjun WU, Xiao ZHANG, Bin LIU, Qinli ZHANG
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 76-84.

    To definite the diffusion characteristics of blasting fumes in downward drift filling mining stopes,taking the downhole filling mining method of Longshou Mine in Jinchuan as an example,numerical simulations and field tests were conducted. The spatial distribution of airflow in drifts and layered roads was studied,and the diffusion patterns of CO and NO2 in drifts were analyzed. Furthermore,the effects of ventilation shaft locations and drift lengths on CO diffusion were explored,and the ventilation parameters of the Longshou Mine were determined. The results indicated that the airflow field in drifts and layered drifts can be divided into the inflow zone,neutral zone,and return zone. The airflow velocity in the drift. shows the S-shaped distribution,with higher velocity at the bottom,lower in the middle,and moderate at the top. In the vertical cross-section of the drift,the CO volume fraction continuously increases with height. While horizontally,it exhibits a "decrease-then-increase" pattern from the inner to outer side. At the drift waistline,the CO diffusion velocity shows a logarithmic decreasing trend with ventilation time.NO2 is primarily concentrated below the midline of the drift,and its diffusion velocity is significantly faster than that of CO. The CO diffusion rate is negatively correlated with both the distance from the ventilation shaft to the drift entrance and drift length. When the distance between the ventilation shaft and the drift entrance is ≤40 m,and the drift length is ≤55 m,the CO and NO2 concentrations in the natural ventilation blasting fumes are below the standard limits below after 30 minutes.

  • Sen TIAN, Yuanheng GONG, Yongxin LI, Ying ZHAO, Guangjin WANG, Hu SI
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 85-93.

    Based on the high and steep slope project of an open-pit slope in cold region,30 freeze-thaw cycle tests were conducted. The temperature range was set from -30 ℃ to 20 ℃.Subsequently uniaxial variable upper limit cyclic loading-unloading tests as well as synchronous acoustic emission monitoring tests were carried out. Slope rock masses with fracture angles of 0,25,50 and 75° were used in potential slip zone. The freezing-dynamic (freeze-thaw cycles and cyclic loading and unloading) combined damage and deterioration characteristics and mechanical properties of slope rock mass were explored in macro and mesoscopic scales. Furthermore,the crack initiation,propagation and failure modes of fractured rock mass were studied. The results show that as the fracture angle increases,the freeze-thaw damage effect on the fractured rock mass gradually decreases,while the compressive strength and elastic modulus exhibit a linear increasing trend with the maximum deformation of fatigue resistance of 0.558 3% at 75°. Compared to ordinary uniaxial loading,the compressive strength of fractured rock masses under cyclic loading and unloading condition decreases by 5.6 MPa. The Felicity ratios of different rock masses decrease with the increase of cyclic levels,and the Felicity ratios at the final failure stage were all below 0.7. As the cyclic loading level increases,the increment of cumulative dissipated energy decreases with the increase of fracture angle. The rock masses mainly exhibit tensile failure,but when the angles exceeded 25°,there is a trend of transformation from tensile and mixed failure to shear failure.

  • Hongtu ZHANG, Zedong ZHEN, Botao LI, Ouya ZHANG
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 94-100.

    In order to investigate the impact of drill pipe rotation on coal particles transport efficiency during negative pressure sampling,CFD and DEM were used to explore the effects of drill pipe rotational speed and coal particles mass flow rate on gas-solid flow characteristics. The results show that:the maximum axial airflow velocity inside the drill pipe decreases and stabilizes as the transport distance increases,while the maximum tangential velocity rapidly decays and vanishes. As rotational speed increases,the axial airflow velocity remains largely unchanged,but the tangential velocity significantly increases. With higher rotational speed,the spiral flow of coal particles becomes more pronounced,the length of the vortex region increases,and the length of the suspension region decreases. The number of coal particles entering the drill pipe decreases,and the distribution of particles above 5 m/s increases and becomes more dispersed. During rotation,the actual solid-to-gas ratio inside the drill pipe is lower than the set value,and coal particles transport efficiency increases and then decreases with the rise in rotational speed.

  • Qifan YANG, Yongzhe KANG
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 101-109.

    To solve the issues that the bias,drift,gain,sticking and mutation fault modes of the current sensor in a battery pack are difficult to detect,recognize and evaluate,a comprehensive diagnosis strategy based on model fusion was proposed. A normal battery model with current as input and voltage as output (CIVO) was established. Based on the one-to-many relationship between the current sensor and batteries in the pack,the cumulative sum of the log-likelihood ratios of the residuals of the voltage of each cell was used as the detection index. A bias/drift fault model and a gain fault model with voltage as input and current as output (VICO) were established. Based on the residual variance of fault current,the model matching was performed on each fault mode. The quantitative evaluation of the bias,drift and gain modes were achieved by introducing a fault parameter to the fault model. The results show that based on CIVO,the five fault modes can be reliably detected. The sticking mode takes the shortest detection time and the drift mode requires the longest detection time,attributed to the slow-change characteristics of the fault current. Based on VICO,five fault modes can be accurately recognized. The quantitative evaluations of the bias,drift and gain modes are highly accurate,with the evaluation results of 0.396 2 A (experimental value 0.4 A),1.641 7×10-4 (experimental value 1.5×10-4) and 0.201 6 (experimental value 0.2),respectively.

  • Yadong LIU, Xian LIU, Hesong HU, Hang CHEN, Shengfang QIAO
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 110-119.

    In order to improve the interpretability of excavation deformation prediction,this study developed an interpretable machine-learning model aimed at predicting the deformation of excavation retaining walls. A comprehensive analysis was conducted to evaluate the influence of different feature variables on the prediction outcomes. Firstly,a large number of excavation support structure parameters were used as a dataset,and 80% of the dataset was used to build a prediction model for the maximum lateral deflection of the retaining wall using the XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting)model. Then,the model was tested based on the remaining 20% of the dataset,and the accuracy of the model was evaluated by four indicators,i.e.,the coefficient of determination,bias factor,mean absolute percentage error,and root mean square error. Finally,combined with the XGBoost model,the SHAP(SHapley Additive exPlanations) method was applied to complete the global explanation of the excavation feature variables,the partial analysis of individual samples,and the analysis of interaction effects of feature variables. The results show that the proposed method can provide both global and local explanations for the deformation prediction of excavation. At the global level,it not only provides the importance ranking of feature variables,but also gives the distribution of SHAP values. At the local level,the deformation prediction results of individual samples are decomposed into the base value and the contribution of each feature variable,which can quantify the impact of individual feature variables.

  • Jiexin TIAN, Yu HE, Zhaohui QIN
    China Safety Science Journal. 2025, 35(4): 120-126.

    To prevent the impact of external risks on cluster supply chain network,the propagation mechanism of external risks in cluster supply chain network was explored based on cascade failure theory. Feasible strategies to curb the spread of risks in cluster supply chain networks under external risk impacts were also explored through numerical simulation using Python. The results indicate that implementing risk tolerance enhancement strategies in important enterprises cannot prevent the eventual collapse of the network,but can effectively slow down the speed of risk propagation and reduce the impact of each step in the risk propagation process. However,the implementation of risk mitigation strategies by important enterprises can effectively prevent the spread of risks in the network and prevent the collapse of clustered supply chain networks. The implementation of risk tolerance enhancement strategies in the global supply chain can effectively prevent the spread of risks in the network and prevent network collapse. Although establishing a supply chain risk sharing mechanism cannot prevent cluster supply chain network paralysis under deliberate attacks,it can effectively reduce the number of failed nodes under random attacks and prevent cluster supply chain network paralysis.