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Mortality and disease burden among the residents in the chronic disease demonstration areas of Jinan
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Ying WANG, Jun ZHANG, Zi-yu WANG, Nan WANG, Xia MA, Qing-chang WANG, Xian-hui ZHANG
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2026, 53(5) : 935 - 940
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2026, 53(5): 935-940
• Disease Control and Prevention •
Mortality and disease burden among the residents in the chronic disease demonstration areas of Jinan
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Ying WANG, Jun ZHANG, Zi-yu WANG, Nan WANG, Xia MA, Qing-chang WANG, Xian-hui ZHANG
Affiliations
  • Jinan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong 250001, China
Published: 2026-03-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202508364
Outline
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Objective

To evaluate the health status of residents in the chronic diseases comprehensive control and prevention demonstration areas, and provide empirical evidence for optimizing chronic disease control and prevention strategies.

Methods

Three demonstration areas established before 2014 in Jinan were selected as the research subjects, and three districts/counties without established demonstration areas were chosen as the control group for comparison. Death registration data of the registered population from 2013 to 2023 were collected, and SPSS 20.0 software was used for statistical analysis. For the first time, this study integrated healthy-adjusted life expectancy(HALE), age standardized mortality rate (ASMR), years of life lost(YLL) rate, and premature death probability with the construction of demonstration areas. Using Joinpoint regression models,the average annual percentage change(AAPC) was calculated to compare the trends between the demonstration and non-demonstration areas.

Results

From 2013 to 2023, the HALE of residents in the demonstration areas increased from 69.20 years to 71.32 years, with an average annual increase of 0.32% (P<0.05). The ASMR decreased by an average of 1.96% per year (P<0.05). The YLL rate declined by an average of 0.92% annually (P<0.05). The premature death probability was reduced by an average of 2.22% each year (P<0.05). Among the major diseases, the ASMR, YLL rate and premature death probability of the four major malignant tumors (lung cancer, stomach cancer, liver cancer and esophageal cancer) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD) among the residents in the demonstration areas all showed a downward trend. For ischemic heart disease(IHD), the four major malignant tumors, and COPD, the rate of decline in the premature death probability among residents in the demonstration areas was not only faster than the decline in their ASMR, but also significantly exceeded the rate of decline in the premature death probability in the non-demonstration areas. However, there was no significant downward trend in the ASMR and YLL rate for IHD, the YLL rate and premature death probability for cerebral infarction(CI), and none of the indicators for respiratory infections showed a clear declining trend.

Conclusion

The construction of the demonstration areas in Jinan has achieved remarkable results, especially in the prevention and control of some malignant tumors and COPD. The working-age population has benefited more. However, IHD, CI and respiratory infections will be the key points of control and prevention in the future.

Chronic diseases comprehensive control and prevention demonstration areas  /  Major causes of death  /  Age standardized mortality rate  /  Health-adjusted life expectancy  /  Years of life lost
王莹, 张军, 王子瑜, 王楠, 马霞, 王庆昌, 张先慧. 济南市慢性病示范区居民死亡水平及疾病负担分析. 现代预防医学, 2026 , 53 (5) : 935 -940 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202508364
Ying WANG, Jun ZHANG, Zi-yu WANG, Nan WANG, Xia MA, Qing-chang WANG, Xian-hui ZHANG. Mortality and disease burden among the residents in the chronic disease demonstration areas of Jinan[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2026 , 53 (5) : 935 -940 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202508364
Year 2026 volume 53 Issue 5
26
14
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Article Info
doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202508364
  • Receive Date:2025-08-22
  • Online Date:2026-11-02
  • Published:2026-03-10
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  • Received:2025-08-22
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    Jinan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong 250001, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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