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A prospective cohort study on the relationship between dynamic changes in cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose index and cardiovascular disease
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Le-mei HAN1, Cheng-yuan SUN2, Jian-xiang TANG1, Ming-jun MOU1, Xing ZHAO1, Bing GUO1
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(21) : 3847 - 3853
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(21): 3847-3853
• Epidemiology and Statistical Methods •
A prospective cohort study on the relationship between dynamic changes in cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose index and cardiovascular disease
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Le-mei HAN1, Cheng-yuan SUN2, Jian-xiang TANG1, Ming-jun MOU1, Xing ZHAO1, Bing GUO1
Affiliations
  • Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, West China School of Public Health / West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
Published: 2025-11-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202504323
Outline
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Objective

To investigate the relationship between dynamic changes in cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose index (CHG) and new-onset cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the middle-aged and elderly Chinese population.

Methods

In this study, the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) data were utilized. Both K-means clustering and cumulative measures were used to characterize the dynamic changes of CHG. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the association between CHG changes with CVD. The nonlinear relationship between cumulative CHG and CVD was further assessed using restricted cubic spline. Subgroup analyses were conducted to assess whether the association between CHG changes and CVD differed across participant subgroups.

Results

A total of 4 710 participants were included, and a total of 785 (16.7%) developed CVD during the follow-up period. The patterns of changes in CHG over the two follow-up visits were categorized into three classes by K-means clustering: persistently low (class 1), persistently medium (class 2), and persistently high (class 3). The risk of CVD was significantly increased in class 2 (HR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.17-1.64) and class 3 (HR=1.44, 95% CI: 1.11-1.87), compared with class 1. With the first quartile as reference, the third and fourth quartile of cumulative CHG had an increased risk of CVD and stroke. RCS analysis revealed a significant positive linear relationship between cumulative CHG and the risk of CVD (Pnonlinearity=0.372) and stroke (Pnonlinearity=0.200). Subgroup analyses did not identify variables that significantly interacted with changes in CHG.

Conclusion

Dynamic changes in CHG are significantly associated with the risk of CVD. The simplicity and affordability of CHG make it particularly valuable for large-scale screening, providing a new reference index for the risk prediction of CVD in the future.

Middle-aged and elderly Chinese population  /  Cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein and glucose index  /  Dynamic change  /  Cardiovascular disease
韩乐梅, 孙承媛, 唐健翔, 牟明军, 赵星, 郭冰. 胆固醇、高密度脂蛋白和葡萄糖指数的动态变化与心血管疾病关系的前瞻性队列研究. 现代预防医学, 2025 , 52 (21) : 3847 -3853 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202504323
Le-mei HAN, Cheng-yuan SUN, Jian-xiang TANG, Ming-jun MOU, Xing ZHAO, Bing GUO. A prospective cohort study on the relationship between dynamic changes in cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose index and cardiovascular disease[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2025 , 52 (21) : 3847 -3853 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202504323
Year 2025 volume 52 Issue 21
68
35
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doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202504323
  • Receive Date:2025-04-18
  • Online Date:2026-10-29
  • Published:2025-11-10
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  • Received:2025-04-18
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    Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, West China School of Public Health / West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
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Percentage of
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Genus
种数
Number of
species
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Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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