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Analysis of rubella epidemic characteristics in Nanning from 2005 to 2022
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Wen-xiu HUANG1, 2, 3, Jin-fang TANG1, 3, Hai-bin CHEN1, Qiu-ying ZHU4, Xuan-hua LIU4, Kang-ming LIN4, Ling-zhi LIANG1, Chang HUANG1, Heng QIN1, 3
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(1) : 8 - 14
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(1): 8-14
• Epidemiology and Statistical Methods •
Analysis of rubella epidemic characteristics in Nanning from 2005 to 2022
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Wen-xiu HUANG1, 2, 3, Jin-fang TANG1, 3, Hai-bin CHEN1, Qiu-ying ZHU4, Xuan-hua LIU4, Kang-ming LIN4, Ling-zhi LIANG1, Chang HUANG1, Heng QIN1, 3
Affiliations
  • Nanning Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanning, Guangxi 530023, China
Published: 2025-01-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409375
Outline
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Objective

To analyze the epidemic characteristics of rubella in Nanning from 2005 to 2022, providing a reference for rubella prevention and control.

Methods

Reported rubella cases in Nanning from 2005 to 2022 were collected, and the Join Point regression model was utilized to analyze the trend of incidence. The spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatiotemporal scanning were employed to assess the clustering of rubella cases.

Results

A total of 4 001 rubella cases were reported in Nanning from 2005 to 2022, with 12 outbreaks and no fatalities. The average annual incidence rate was 3.17 per 100 000, displaying an initial increase followed by a decrease, then another increase and decrease, with significant peaks in 2011 and 2018. Cases were concentrated between March and June, with the incidence rate in urban areas (3.70 per 100 000) being higher than that in rural counties (2.48 per 100 000). Males (3.58 per 100 000) had a higher incidence than females (2.72 per 100 000), and the highest average annual incidence rate was observed in the age group of 10 to 19 years, predominantly among students (73.53%). The proportion of students decreased, while the proportions of farmers, commercial service workers, homemakers, the unemployed, and other professions increased. Spatial autocorrelation analysis indicated significant clustering, with a trend of “high-high” clusters shifting from surrounding counties to the urban center, ultimately shrinking and disappearing, while “low-low” clusters exhibited a merging trend.Spatiotemporal scanning identified two clusters covering seven counties and districts.

Conclusion

Significant progress has been made in rubella prevention and control in Nanning, with the incidence still primarily affecting the 10 to 19 age group and a noted shift in the age of onset. It is recommended to continue strengthening rubella vaccination for age-appropriate children, while also targeting vaccination efforts towards key populations such as middle school students and women of childbearing age.

Rubella  /  Incidence rate  /  Join point regression model  /  Clustering
黄文秀, 唐金芳, 陈海滨, 朱秋映, 刘玄华, 林康明, 梁灵芝, 黄昌, 覃恒. 2005—2022年南宁市风疹流行特征分析. 现代预防医学, 2025 , 52 (1) : 8 -14 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409375
Wen-xiu HUANG, Jin-fang TANG, Hai-bin CHEN, Qiu-ying ZHU, Xuan-hua LIU, Kang-ming LIN, Ling-zhi LIANG, Chang HUANG, Heng QIN. Analysis of rubella epidemic characteristics in Nanning from 2005 to 2022[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2025 , 52 (1) : 8 -14 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409375
Year 2025 volume 52 Issue 1
49
25
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Article Info
doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409375
  • Receive Date:2024-09-19
  • Online Date:2026-10-29
  • Published:2025-01-10
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  • Received:2024-09-19
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    Nanning Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanning, Guangxi 530023, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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