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Factors influencing the CD4/CD8 ratio trajectory and its association with mortality in HIV-infected patients
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Bo-lin YANG, Ji-biao CHEN, Han-lu YIN, Jing GU, Zhu-ping XU, Xiao-jun MENG
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2026, 53(15) : 2720 - 2725
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2026, 53(15): 2720-2725
• Epidemiology and Statistical Method •
Factors influencing the CD4/CD8 ratio trajectory and its association with mortality in HIV-infected patients
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Bo-lin YANG, Ji-biao CHEN, Han-lu YIN, Jing GU, Zhu-ping XU, Xiao-jun MENG
Affiliations
  • The Affiliated Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuxi, Jiangsu 214023, China
Published: 2026-08-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202601451
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Objective

To analyze the dynamic trajectory of the CD4/CD8 ratio and its influencing factors in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients after initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART), and to explore its association with risk of mortality.

Methods

Data were obtained from HIV-infected patients who initiated ART between 2005 and 2023 in Wuxi.A latent class trajectory model was adopted to identify distinct trajectories of CD4/CD8 ratio. A multivariable logistic regression model was applied to analyze the factors influencing the trajectories of CD4/CD8 ratio, while a generalized linear mixed model tree (GLMMT) was employed to explore population characteristics associated with trajectory group membership. Furthermore,the Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to assess the association between trajectories and mortality.

Results

A total of 3 808 HIV-infected patients were included. Two distinct trajectories of CD4/CD8 ratio were identified: a gradual recovery group(28.02%, 1 067/3 808) and a sustained inversion group(71.98%, 2 741/3 808). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that patients who were male(OR=1.29, 95% CI: 1.01-1.64), infected through homosexual contact (OR=1.25,95% CI: 1.04-1.49), initiated ART more than 30 days after diagnosis (OR=1.70, 95% CI: 1.47-1.97), had baseline CD4 count <200 cells/μl (OR=1.21, 95% CI: 1.03-1.43), and had baseline CD4/CD8 ratio <1 (OR=2.24, 95% CI: 1.59-3.17) were more likely to belong to the sustained inversion group. GLMMT analysis showed that the prevalence of sustained CD4/CD8 ratio inversion was 77.72% (1 427/1 836) among HIV-infected individuals with ART initiation >30 days and a baseline CD4/CD8 ratio <1, and 73.85% (401/543) among those with ART initiation ≤30 days who were male and had a baseline CD4 count <200 cells/μl. Furthermore, individuals in the sustained inversion group had a significantly increased risk of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)-related death (HR=4.90, 95% CI: 1.52-15.83), but no significant association was found with non-AIDS-related death.

Conclusion

The persistent inversion of the CD4/CD8 ratio is common among people living with HIV. A comprehensive assessment of immune status and disease progression should, therefore, include not only the CD4 count but also the CD4/CD8 ratio, while fully considering the influence of demographic and behavioral factors.

HIV-infected patients  /  CD4/CD8 ratio  /  Trajectory  /  AIDS-related death
杨柏林, 陈积标, 尹寒露, 顾静, 许祝平, 孟晓军. HIV感染者CD4/CD8比值变化轨迹的影响因素及其与死亡风险的关联研究. 现代预防医学, 2026 , 53 (15) : 2720 -2725 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202601451
Bo-lin YANG, Ji-biao CHEN, Han-lu YIN, Jing GU, Zhu-ping XU, Xiao-jun MENG. Factors influencing the CD4/CD8 ratio trajectory and its association with mortality in HIV-infected patients[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2026 , 53 (15) : 2720 -2725 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202601451
Year 2026 volume 53 Issue 15
182
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Article Info
doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202601451
  • Receive Date:2026-01-25
  • Online Date:2026-09-28
  • Published:2026-08-10
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  • Received:2026-01-25
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    The Affiliated Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Wuxi, Jiangsu 214023, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
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Percentage of
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Genus
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Number of
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Percentage of total
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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