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Spatial-temporal clustering characteristics and influencing factors of road traffic injury mortality, Shandong, 2012-2021
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Ze-han ZHANG1, Wen-gui ZHENG1, Zi-long LU2, 3, Ming-lei XU4, Yin-lu LI1, Hai-yan LIU2, 3, Te YANG2, 3, Xiao-lei GUO2, 3, Jie CHU1, 2, 3
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2024, 51(18) : 3277 - 3282
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2024, 51(18): 3277-3282
Spatial-temporal clustering characteristics and influencing factors of road traffic injury mortality, Shandong, 2012-2021
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Ze-han ZHANG1, Wen-gui ZHENG1, Zi-long LU2, 3, Ming-lei XU4, Yin-lu LI1, Hai-yan LIU2, 3, Te YANG2, 3, Xiao-lei GUO2, 3, Jie CHU1, 2, 3
Affiliations
  • School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong 261053, China
Published: 2024-09-25 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202403165
Outline
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Objective

To provide a basis for formulating precise prevention and control strategies, the temporal and spatial aggregation characteristics of county road traffic injury mortality were analyzed, Shandong, 2012-2021.

Methods

The traffic injury mortality rate was calculated by using the data from the death registration and reporting system of Shandong. Geoda 1.18 and SatScan 9.7 were used for spatial autocorrelation analysis and spatiotemporal scanning analysis to explore the characteristics of spatiotemporal aggregation, and principal component regression analysis was used to explore the influencing factors.

Results

Road traffic injury mortality rate in Shandong from 2012 to 2021 showed an overall decreasing trend and was high in the fall. The spatial correlation existed in each year, and the "high-high" aggregation area was mainly located in the central and northwestern parts of Shandong. The spatial scan revealed the existence of four clusters across the entire population. Cluster 1 existed from March 2012 to February 2015, covering 26 districts and counties, primarily located in south-central Shandong. Similar to the total population, urban and rural areas were mainly located in the central and southern part of Shandong, and the main urban agglomeration area existed from January 2012 to December 2014, covering 19 districts and counties; The main rural agglomeration area existed from January 2012 to December 2014, covering 38 districts and counties. Principal component regression analysis showed that the variables reflecting the economic and transportation conditions had a greater impact. Among them, the number of permanent residents and the volume of passenger and freight transportation were positively correlated with the mortality rate, while others were negatively correlated.

Conclusion

From 2012 to 2021, the mortality rate of road traffic injuries in Shandong showed a decreasing trend. The main agglomeration area exists in the central and southern part of Shandong, and the rural agglomeration is more obvious. According to the characteristics of clustering, attention should be paid to the enforcement of laws and regulations, infrastructure construction, population flow and other factors in high-risk areas, and prevention and control strategies should be adopted or adjusted according to local conditions.

Road traffic injuries  /  Spatial autocorrelation  /  Space-time scan  /  Principal component regression analysis
Ze-han ZHANG, Wen-gui ZHENG, Zi-long LU, Ming-lei XU, Yin-lu LI, Hai-yan LIU, Te YANG, Xiao-lei GUO, Jie CHU. Spatial-temporal clustering characteristics and influencing factors of road traffic injury mortality, Shandong, 2012-2021[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2024 , 51 (18) : 3277 -3282 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202403165
Year 2024 volume 51 Issue 18
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Article Info
doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202403165
  • Receive Date:2024-03-11
  • Online Date:2026-03-20
  • Published:2024-09-25
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  • Received:2024-03-11
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    School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong 261053, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
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占总种数比例
Percentage of
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Number of
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Percentage of total
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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