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Analyze on epidemiological and pathogenetic characteristics of hand-foot-mouth disease based on joinpoint regression modeling,Guiyang, 2008-2022
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Lian-xin TIAN1, 2, Jing-yuan YANG1, Lan GAO1, 2, Fei CHENG2
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2024, 51(22) : 4057 - 4062
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2024, 51(22): 4057-4062
Epidemiology and Statistical Methods Advances
Analyze on epidemiological and pathogenetic characteristics of hand-foot-mouth disease based on joinpoint regression modeling,Guiyang, 2008-2022
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Lian-xin TIAN1, 2, Jing-yuan YANG1, Lan GAO1, 2, Fei CHENG2
Affiliations
  • School of Public Health, the Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Monitoring and Disease Control, Ministry of Education, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang,Guizhou 561113, China
Published: 2024-11-25 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202405260
Outline
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Objective

To analyze the characteristics of epidemiological and pathogenetic trends of HFMD in Guiyang city, and to provide reference for the prevention and control of HFMD.

Methods

HFMD cases and pathogenetic surveillance data reported in Guiyang City from 2008 to 2022 were collected through the China Disease Control and Prevention Information System (CDCIS), and a Joinpoint regression model was used to compare the trends and characteristics of HFMD and its pathogenetic changes in populations with different characteristics.

Results

From 2008 to 2022, 124 288 cases of HFMD were reported in Guiyang, with an average annual incidence rate of 187.54/100 000. From 2008 to 2010, the annual incidence rate of HFMD showed a rapid upward trend (APC=144.59%, P=0.002). Slow decline from 2010 to 2022 (APC= -13.07%, P<0.001). Among them, the male incidence rate showed an upward trend from 2008 to 2010 (APC=137.14%, P=0.003), and a downward trend from 2010 to 2022 (APC= -13.54%, P<0.001). The female incidence rate increased rapidly from 2008 to 2010 (APC=157.49%, P=0.001), and showed a downward trend from 2010 to 2022 (APC= -12.41%, P<0.001). Compared with men, women showed a fast rise, slow decline characteristic. Meanwhile, the pathogen analysis results showed that EV71 showed a downward trend, Cox A16 showed a first decrease and then increase trend, and other enterovirus showed an upward trend.

Conclusion

The incidence rate of HFMD in Guiyang is still high, and the trend of annual female incidence rate should be noted. The dominant pathogenic strain of HFMD has changed from EV71 to other EVs. It is suggested that the immunization strategy of HFMD should be adjusted appropriately and pertinently.

Hand-foot-mouth disease  /  Enterovirus  /  Joinpoint regression model  /  Epidemiological trends
Lian-xin TIAN, Jing-yuan YANG, Lan GAO, Fei CHENG. Analyze on epidemiological and pathogenetic characteristics of hand-foot-mouth disease based on joinpoint regression modeling,Guiyang, 2008-2022[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2024 , 51 (22) : 4057 -4062 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202405260
Year 2024 volume 51 Issue 22
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Article Info
doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202405260
  • Receive Date:2024-05-16
  • Online Date:2026-03-20
  • Published:2024-11-25
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  • Received:2024-05-16
Affiliations
    School of Public Health, the Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution Monitoring and Disease Control, Ministry of Education, Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang,Guizhou 561113, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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