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To compare the characteristics of deaths and disease burden of respiratory tuberculosis in China and globally from 1990 to 2021 and predict future trends, providing evidence for formulating prevention and control policies.
Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) were used to describe deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of respiratory tuberculosis in China and globally from 1990 to 2021. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to assess trends. The Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was employed for prediction.
From 1990 to 2021,the number of respiratory tuberculosis deaths in China and globally was 37 300 and 1 162 800, respectively, with age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) of 1.91/100 000 and 13.96/100 000, and AAPCs of -7.4 (95%CI: -7.8 to -7.1) and -3.3(95%CI: -3.5 to -3.2), respectively. DALYs were 1 375 500 person-years and 46 977 500 person-years, with age-standardized DALY rates (ASDR) of 76.22/100 000 and 580.26/100 000, and AAPCs of -7.0 (95% CI: -7.2 to -6.8) and -3.3 (95% CI: -3.4 to-3.2), respectively. The death and disease burden were higher in males than females. From 2022 to 2036, ASMR (China: males-55.30%, females -62.50%; global: males -36.72%, females -37.50%) and ASDR (China: males -46.50%, females -44.82%;global: males -31.87%, females -32.95%) are projected to decline.
From 1990 to 2021, the ASMR and ASDR of respiratory tuberculosis declined in both China and globally, with a significantly higher disease burden in males. Over the next 15 years, ASMR and ASDR are expected to continue decreasing. Relevant authorities should sustain and optimize prevention and control measures to further reduce the disease burden and achieve more comprehensive disease control.
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| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
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