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To assess the disease burden of migraine in China from 1990 to 2019 and predict the changing trends in disease burden from 2020 to 2030, which may provide reliable data support for public health decision-making.
The study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD2019) database and analyzed the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized DALY rate of migraine in China from 1990 to 2019. Estimation of annual percentage change (EAPC) models and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis methods were employed to reveal changes and trends.
From 1990 to 2019, both the ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate of migraine in China showed an upward trend, with EAPCs of 0.24% (95%CI: 0.20%-0.29%) and 0.27% (95%CI: 0.22%-0.32%), respectively. The highest ASIR for migraine was observed in the age group of 10-15 years, followed by a fluctuating decline, and then an increase in ASIR in the 25-30 age group. The age-standardized DALY rate peaked in the 40-45 age group. Disease burden indicators for females exceeded those for males during the same period. According to the BAPC model predictions, the ASIR for migraine in the entire population of China was expected to increase from 2020 to 2030, with an annual growth rate of 0.88%. The annual growth rates of ASIR for males and females were projected to be 1.21% and 0.64%, respectively.
The burden of migraine in China remains quite severe, and there should be a focus on adolescents and young to middle-aged populations. Customized prevention and intervention strategies are crucial for high-risk populations of different ages and genders.
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| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
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