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Analysis of the burden of respiratory syncytial virus lower respiratory tract infections in China from 1992 to 2021
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Kai LIN, Ya-wen LIU, Ren-zhan HUANG, Chen-huan ZHANG, Zhen-dong XU, Li-si GU, Xue-mei LI
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(3) : 430 - 435
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(3): 430-435
Epidemiology and Statistical Methods
Analysis of the burden of respiratory syncytial virus lower respiratory tract infections in China from 1992 to 2021
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Kai LIN, Ya-wen LIU, Ren-zhan HUANG, Chen-huan ZHANG, Zhen-dong XU, Li-si GU, Xue-mei LI
Affiliations
  • Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Department, Yantian District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen,Guangdong 518000, China
Published: 2025-02-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409469
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Objective

To analyze the current status and trends of the burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) lower respiratory tract infections in China from 1992 to 2021, providing a reference for the prevention and control of RSV infections in the country.

Methods

The burden of disease was assessed using disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Data on DALYs for RSV lower respiratory tract infections in China from 1992 to 2021 were extracted from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study database. Join point regression analysis was employed to evaluate trends in disease burden, and an age-period-cohort (APC) model was constructed to explore the impacts of age, period, and birth cohort on disease burden.

Results

In 2021, the DALYs rate for RSV lower respiratory tract infections in China was 3.08 per 100 000, with the highest DALYs number (35 400 person-years) and rate (45.63 per 100 000) observed in the 0-4 age group, followed by those aged 65 and older (5 300 person-years, 2.68 per 100 000). From 1992 to 2021, the DALYs rate for RSV lower respiratory tract infections in China showed a declining trend (AAPC=-12.96%, P<0.001), with the DALYs rate remaining relatively stable from 2012 to 2016 (AAPC=-1.61%, P=0.198), while other intervals exhibited a downward trend, particularly from 2019 to 2021, which had the most significant decline (AAPC=-57.90%, P<0.001). Among different age groups, the 0-4 age group experienced the largest decrease in DALYs rate (AAPC=-12.02%, P<0.001), whereas the decline was the smallest in those aged 65 and older (AAPC=-5.19%, P<0.001). The APC model indicated that age, period, and birth cohort effects influenced the changes in DALYs rates for RSV lower respiratory tract infections in China, with DALYs rates initially decreasing and then increasing with age, while declining with advancing periods and shifting birth cohorts.

Conclusion

The burden of RSV lower respiratory tract infections in China showed a downward trend from 1992 to 2021, predominantly affecting children and the elderly.

Respiratory syncytial virus  /  Disease burden  /  Join point regression  /  Age-period-cohort model
Kai LIN, Ya-wen LIU, Ren-zhan HUANG, Chen-huan ZHANG, Zhen-dong XU, Li-si GU, Xue-mei LI. Analysis of the burden of respiratory syncytial virus lower respiratory tract infections in China from 1992 to 2021[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2025 , 52 (3) : 430 -435 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409469
Year 2025 volume 52 Issue 3
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doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409469
  • Receive Date:2024-09-25
  • Online Date:2026-03-18
  • Published:2025-02-10
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  • Received:2024-09-25
Affiliations
    Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Department, Yantian District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen,Guangdong 518000, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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