收藏切换
Burden and trend changes of depression among Chinese residents from 1990 to 2021 and predictions
收藏切换
PDF
Hong-jie MU1, Yan ZHAI2, Jie WANG1, Li-peng MIAO1, Ke-hao REN1, Jun-cheng LV1
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(3) : 406 - 411
Less
收藏切换
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(3): 406-411
Epidemiology and Statistical Methods
Burden and trend changes of depression among Chinese residents from 1990 to 2021 and predictions
Full
Hong-jie MU1, Yan ZHAI2, Jie WANG1, Li-peng MIAO1, Ke-hao REN1, Jun-cheng LV1
Affiliations
  • School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong 261053, China
Published: 2025-02-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409487
Outline
收藏切换
Objective

To describe the changes in the burden of depression among Chinese residents from 1990 to 2021 and to forecast future trends, providing reference for the prevention and control of depression.

Methods

Based on the 2021 Global Burden of Disease data, indicators such as the number of cases, incidence rate, prevalence rate, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) along with DALYs rates were selected to calculate the rate of change. The Join point regression model was employed to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) to analyze the trend of disease burden. Future trends were predicted using R software combined with the GM (1,1) model.

Results

In 2021, the total number of depression cases in China was approximately 42.36 million, with an incidence rate of 2 977.354 per 100 000 and a standardized incidence rate of 2 345.079 per 100 000. The total DALYs attributed to depression were 7.8659 million years, with a total DALYs rate of 552.87 per 100 000 and a standardized DALYs rate of 430.61 per 100 000. Compared to 1990, the standardized prevalence rates for the total population, males, and females decreased by 6.39%, 2.4%, and 9.17%, respectively; the standardized incidence rates decreased by 10.79%, 3.96%, and 14.93%; and the standardized DALYs rates decreased by 9.02%, 3.85%, and 12.43%. Join point regression analysis indicated that from 1990 to 1995 and from 2010 to 2015, the standardized incidence rate of depression among the total population in China showed an increasing trend (APC of 1.56% and 1.37%, respectively), while from 1995 to 2000 and 2005 to 2010, it exhibited a decreasing trend (APC of -2.74% and -1.45%,respectively). The standardized prevalence rates from 1990 to 1992, 1992 to 1995, and 2019 to 2021 all showed an upward trend (APC of 1.67%, 0.48%, and 0.96%, respectively), whereas from 1995 to 2000, 2000 to 2005, 2005 to 2010, and 2010 to 2019, they demonstrated a downward trend (APC of -1.06%, -0.22%, -1.02%, and -0.15%, respectively). The standardized DALYs rate increased from 1990 to 1994 (APC of 1.75%) and showed a decreasing trend from 1994 to 2000 and from 2000 to 2006 (APC of-1.55% and -0.46%, respectively).

Conclusion

The burden of depression among Chinese residents is increasing, with a higher burden observed in females. The risk of depression among the elderly should not be overlooked. Continued efforts are needed to enhance public awareness of depression-related health knowledge and implement preventive interventions.

Disease burden  /  Depression  /  Chinese residents  /  Trend analysis  /  Prediction
Hong-jie MU, Yan ZHAI, Jie WANG, Li-peng MIAO, Ke-hao REN, Jun-cheng LV. Burden and trend changes of depression among Chinese residents from 1990 to 2021 and predictions[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2025 , 52 (3) : 406 -411 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409487
Year 2025 volume 52 Issue 3
PDF
114
50
Cite this Article
BibTeX
Article Info
doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409487
  • Receive Date:2024-09-25
  • Online Date:2026-03-18
  • Published:2025-02-10
Article Data
Affiliations
History
  • Received:2024-09-25
Funding
Affiliations
    School of Public Health, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong 261053, China
References
Share
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/xdyfyx/EN/10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202409487
Share to
QR

Scan QR to access full text

Cite this article
BibTeX
Citations
表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
关闭全屏
  • BibTeX
  • EndNote
  • RefWorks
  • TxT