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To establish a screening model for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).
By using the method of multi-stage stratified random sampling, 4 587 permanent residents ≥ 40 years old in Guizhou Province were investigated by questionnaire, physical examination, and pulmonary function examination. Variables to be included into the model were screened by univariate analysis and then further screened by multivariate Logistic regression. Logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) were used to construct the screening model of COPD patients, and the area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the effect of the model. Delong method was used to test the difference of AUC between models.
According to the results of multivariate Logistic regression analysis, age, frequent cough before 14 years old, asthma, daily smoking, cooking fuel and exhaust, and harmful gas exposure were included in LR, RF and SVM models. The AUC of the three model training sets were 73.64%, 87.14%, and 73.30%, respectively, and the AUC of the test set were 76.10%, 70.96%, and 76.08%, respectively, all of which had good screening results. The results of Delong method showed that the screening effects of the three models were different between the training set and the test set.
This study established an economical, rapid, and effective screening model for COPD patients through six simple variables such as age and asthma.
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| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
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