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Trends and risk factor analysis of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis burden in China from 1990 to 2021
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Xin-yue ZHANG, Yu WANG, Li-rong XIONG
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(9) : 1544 - 1549
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(9): 1544-1549
Epidemiology and Statistical Methods
Trends and risk factor analysis of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis burden in China from 1990 to 2021
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Xin-yue ZHANG, Yu WANG, Li-rong XIONG
Affiliations
  • Department of Pharmacy, The First Affiliated Hospital of Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China
Published: 2025-05-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202412525
Outline
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Objective

To explore the trends in the burden of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) in China and its associated risk factors based on the Global Burden of Disease database (GBD).

Methods

Data on the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) related to MDR-TB in China from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the GBD 2021 database. The trends in disease burden and risk factors were assessed using the rate of change and annual estimated percentage change.

Results

From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of MDR-TB in China decreased from 3.4 504(95%UI: 0.9 415 to 9.4 455) per 100 000 to 1.4 932 (95%UI: 0.2 544 to 4.6 586) per 100 000, with an estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of -6.6 (95%CI: -7.8 to -5.38). The age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) fell from 40.455 (95%UI:9.522 to 116.1805) per 100 000 to 5.1077 (95%UI: 0.8967 to 15.0293) per 100 000, with an EAPC of -10.07 (95%CI: -11.24 to -8.89). The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) decreased from 1.176 (95%UI: 0.2691 to 3.4253) per 100 000 to 0.1469(95%UI: 0.0246 to 0.4272) per 100 000, with an EAPC of -10.03 (95%CI: -11.23 to -8.82). During the same period, the number of new cases decreased by 30.07%, the number of DALYs decreased by 77.44%, and the number of deaths decreased by 71.3%. Additionally, significant age and gender disparities were observed in the burden of MDR-TB in China. From 1990 to 2021, the declines in age-standardized incidence, DALY rates, and mortality rates were more pronounced in females than in males. Furthermore, smoking, alcohol consumption, high fasting blood glucose, and high body mass index were significant contributors to DALYs and mortality related to MDR-TB, with their contributions increasing over time.

Conclusion

There has been a significant downward trend in the burden of MDR-TB in China from 1990 to 2021. Attention should be given to the trends in MDR-TB burden among individuals aged 60 and above and males. Tailored prevention and control policies and measures should be developed based on the characteristics of different age groups and genders, along with the primary risk factors, to effectively reduce the overall disease burden of MDR-TB in China.

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis  /  Disease burden  /  Trend analysis  /  Elderly population  /  EAPC model
Xin-yue ZHANG, Yu WANG, Li-rong XIONG. Trends and risk factor analysis of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis burden in China from 1990 to 2021[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2025 , 52 (9) : 1544 -1549 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202412525
Year 2025 volume 52 Issue 9
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doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202412525
  • Receive Date:2024-12-30
  • Online Date:2026-03-17
  • Published:2025-05-10
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  • Received:2024-12-30
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    Department of Pharmacy, The First Affiliated Hospital of Army Medical University, Chongqing, 400038, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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