收藏切换
Spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of pulmonary tuberculosis in China: 2011—2020
收藏切换
PDF
Jian-ping BI, Xing-fu XU
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(19) : 3521 - 3525
Less
收藏切换
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(19): 3521-3525
Epidemiology and Statistical Methods
Spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of pulmonary tuberculosis in China: 2011—2020
Full
Jian-ping BI, Xing-fu XU
Affiliations
  • Hangzhou Xiaoshan District Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (Hangzhou Xiaoshan District Health Supervision Institute), Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311203, China
Published: 2025-10-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202502415
Outline
收藏切换

Objective To explore the spatiotemporal characteristics of pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) in China and its macro influencing factors, and to provide a theoretical basis for the formulation of TB prevention and control measures. Methods The data of tuberculosis incidence in China from 2011 to 2020 were collected. A two-stage distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was constructed to assess the lag effect and nonlinear relationship of meteorological factors on TB incidence, and a hierarchical Bayesian spatiotemporal model was used to analyze the relationship between population, economic factors, health services, and TB incidence. Results TB incidence in China was on a downward trend, with spatial clustering, and there were intensifying hotspots (Sichuan Province) and persistent hotspots(Liaoning Province, Shaanxi Province). The attributable fractions of low temperature(<6.7 ℃), low relative humidity(<55.59%), high wind speed(>3.00 m/s), and short sunshine duration(<2.7 hours) were 14.44%, 5.75%, 3.30%, and 7.88%, respectively. The urbanization rate(RR=1.009, 95% CI: 1.007-1.012) and the night light index (RR=1.009, 95% CI: 1.007-1.013) were positively correlated with TB incidence, while the number of hospital beds(RR=0.996, 95% CI: 0.994-0.998) and the proportion of elderly population (RR=0.973, 95% CI: 0.969-0.979) were negatively correlated with it. Conclusion The TB incidence in China has generally shown a downward trend. Attention should be paid to the prevention and control of hotspots, and the monitoring of macro influencing factors should be strengthened to take intervention measures as early as possible.

Tuberculosis  /  Distributed lag non-linear model  /  Hierarchical Bayesian model  /  Spatial-temporal characteristics  /  Influencing factors
Jian-ping BI, Xing-fu XU. Spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of pulmonary tuberculosis in China: 2011—2020[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2025 , 52 (19) : 3521 -3525 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202502415
Year 2025 volume 52 Issue 19
PDF
58
22
Cite this Article
BibTeX
Article Info
doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202502415
  • Receive Date:2025-02-25
  • Online Date:2026-03-17
  • Published:2025-10-10
Article Data
Affiliations
History
  • Received:2025-02-25
Affiliations
    Hangzhou Xiaoshan District Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (Hangzhou Xiaoshan District Health Supervision Institute), Hangzhou, Zhejiang 311203, China
References
Share
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/xdyfyx/EN/10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202502415
Share to
QR

Scan QR to access full text

Cite this article
BibTeX
Citations
表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
关闭全屏
  • BibTeX
  • EndNote
  • RefWorks
  • TxT