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Trends in abdominal obesity and age-period-cohort effect analysis in Guangzhou from 2008 to 2018
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Jin CHEN1, Wan-shan ZHENG1, Ying LING1, Yi-qian WU2, Pei-ming HUANG1, Min TANG2, Qin ZHOU3, Yun-ou YANG3, Xue-ji WU3, Xiao-mei DONG1, Xiong-fei CHEN3
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(15) : 2689 - 2694
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(15): 2689-2694
Epidemiology and Statistical Methods
Trends in abdominal obesity and age-period-cohort effect analysis in Guangzhou from 2008 to 2018
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Jin CHEN1, Wan-shan ZHENG1, Ying LING1, Yi-qian WU2, Pei-ming HUANG1, Min TANG2, Qin ZHOU3, Yun-ou YANG3, Xue-ji WU3, Xiao-mei DONG1, Xiong-fei CHEN3
Affiliations
  • Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangdong 510632, China
Published: 2025-08-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202503318
Outline
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Objective

This study aimed to investigate the trend of abdominal obesity in Guangzhou from 2008 to 2018 and assess the impact of age, period, and cohort effects on its prevalence during this period.

Methods

Based on data from the Guangzhou Community Health Survey conducted every five years, residents were classified into abdominal obesity and normal body type groups according to their waist-to-hip ratio. Time trend analysis and age-period-cohort (APC) models were applied to investigate changes in abdominal obesity and its influencing factors among residents aged 15 to 79 years in Guangzhou.

Results

The annual change rate of central obesity from 2008 to 2013 was 2.41% (1.86%-2.95%), whereas from 2013 to 2018, it decreased to -0.67% (-1.21%~-0.12%), indicating an initial increase followed by a subsequent decline. However, no significant decreasing trend was observed among the elderly population. The APC model identified advanced age as a significant factor for abdominal obesity in both men and women. Between 2008 and 2013, the prevalence of abdominal obesity increased by 15%, with women experiencing a greater rise than men, before declining to slightly below the 2008 level by 2018.Cohort effects revealed that individuals born around the time of China's economic reform had a higher risk of abdominal obesity.

Conclusion

Although the prevalence of abdominal obesity in Guangzhou shows a declining trend, it remains at a high level. There is a need for targeted interventions focusing on the elderly and individuals born around the 1970s, who underwent rapid nutritional transitions during that period.

Abdominal obesity  /  Age-period-cohort effects  /  Waist-to-hip ratio  /  Gender differences  /  Trends
Jin CHEN, Wan-shan ZHENG, Ying LING, Yi-qian WU, Pei-ming HUANG, Min TANG, Qin ZHOU, Yun-ou YANG, Xue-ji WU, Xiao-mei DONG, Xiong-fei CHEN. Trends in abdominal obesity and age-period-cohort effect analysis in Guangzhou from 2008 to 2018[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2025 , 52 (15) : 2689 -2694 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202503318
Year 2025 volume 52 Issue 15
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Article Info
doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202503318
  • Receive Date:2025-03-18
  • Online Date:2026-03-16
  • Published:2025-08-10
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History
  • Received:2025-03-18
Funding
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    Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangdong 510632, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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