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Trends and age-period-cohort analyses of liver cancer incidence and death due to hepatitis B virus infection in China, 1990-2019
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Shu-hao REN1, 3, Zhi-nan GUO2, Hong-fei MI3, Rui-xin ZHANG1, 3, Ting-juan HE3, Lian-sheng XU2, Cheng-hao SU3
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2024, 51(6) : 980 - 987
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2024, 51(6): 980-987
Epidemiology and Statistical Methods Advances
Trends and age-period-cohort analyses of liver cancer incidence and death due to hepatitis B virus infection in China, 1990-2019
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Shu-hao REN1, 3, Zhi-nan GUO2, Hong-fei MI3, Rui-xin ZHANG1, 3, Ting-juan HE3, Lian-sheng XU2, Cheng-hao SU3
Affiliations
  • School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian 361102, China
Published: 2024-03-25 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202311136
Outline
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Objective

To analyze the trend of incidence and mortality of liver cancer due to HBV (hepatitis B virus, HBV) infection in China from 1990 to 2019, and to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of liver cancer.

Methods

Using the Global Burden of Disease database, the incidence and mortality of liver cancer due to HBV infection in China were analysed from 1990 to 2019, and a Joinpoint regression model was applied to analyse the trends in the incidence and mortality of liver cancer due to HBV infection. An age-period-cohort model was constructed to analyze the effects of three factors: age, period, and cohort on changes in morbidity and mortality.

Results

The overall trend of the standardized incidence rate and the standardized mortality rate of liver cancer due to HBV infection for both men and women in China from 1990 to 2019 showed a decreasing trend. The average annual rates of change in the standardized incidence rate for men and women were -2.94% and -4.24%, respectively. And the average annual rates of change in the standardized mortality rate were -3.35% and -4.45%, respectively. The age-period-cohort model showed that the risk of morbidity and mortality for males and females tended to increase and then decrease with age, and the overall trend decreased with period and birth cohort, but there was a slight increase locally.

Conclusion

The incidence and mortality rates of liver cancer caused by HBV infection show a substantial downward trend from 1990 to 2019. In the future, the problem of HBV-induced liver cancer will remain serious, and it is recommended that hepatitis B (Hepatitis B) vaccination be expanded among high-risk groups, and that public education on health behaviors be strengthened and early screening for liver cancer be actively carried out.

Hepatitis B virus  /  Liver cancer  /  Joinpoint regression model  /  Age-period-cohort model
Shu-hao REN, Zhi-nan GUO, Hong-fei MI, Rui-xin ZHANG, Ting-juan HE, Lian-sheng XU, Cheng-hao SU. Trends and age-period-cohort analyses of liver cancer incidence and death due to hepatitis B virus infection in China, 1990-2019[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2024 , 51 (6) : 980 -987 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202311136
Year 2024 volume 51 Issue 6
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Article Info
doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202311136
  • Receive Date:2023-11-07
  • Online Date:2026-03-16
  • Published:2024-03-25
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  • Received:2023-11-07
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    School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian 361102, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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