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Age-period-cohort analysis on disease burden of enteric infectious diseases among the population under 20 years old, China, 1990 -2021
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Hui-hui XIAO, Jin ZHAO, Shui-lian CHEN, Jin-song QIU, Yin-zhu ZHOU, Qiang-ming XIE
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2026, 53(6) : 1119 - 1125
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2026, 53(6): 1119-1125
• Disease Control and Prevention •
Age-period-cohort analysis on disease burden of enteric infectious diseases among the population under 20 years old, China, 1990 -2021
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Hui-hui XIAO, Jin ZHAO, Shui-lian CHEN, Jin-song QIU, Yin-zhu ZHOU, Qiang-ming XIE
Affiliations
  • Division of Infectious Diseases Prevention and Control, Changsha Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Changsha Health Inspection Bureau), Changsha, Hunan 41004, China
Published: 2026-03-25 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202510331
Outline
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Objective

To analyze the trends in the prevalence and disease burden of enteric infectious diseases among the population under 20 years old in China from 1990 to 2021, to identify the severity and key affected populations, and to provide a reference basis for formulating prevention and intervention policies.

Methods

Data were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 database. The Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the temporal trends in the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of enteric infectious diseases among the population under 20 in China from 1990 to 2021. The age-period-cohort analysis method was employed to assess the effects of age, period, and birth cohort on the trends in the disease burden.

Results

The incidence rate of enteric infectious diseases in the population under 20 in China decreased from 48 373.02 per 100 000 in 1990 to 8 811.07 per 100 000 in 2021. The mortality rate decreased from 17.55 per 100 000 in 1990 to 0.43 per 100 000 in 2021. The DALYs rate decreased from 1 643.60 per 100 000 in 1990 to 52.31 per 100 000 in 2021. Joinpoint regression analysis showed that from 1990 to 2021, the incidence rate decreased by an average of 5.34% annually (AAPC=-5.34%, 95% CI: -5.50% to -5.18%), the mortality rate decreased by an average of 11.34% annually (AAPC=-11.34%, 95% CI: -11.71% to -10.97%), and the DALYs rate decreased by an average of 10.56% annually (AAPC=-10.56%, 95% CI: -11.03% to -10.10%). Age-period-cohort model analysis revealed that the 0-4 age group had a higher disease burden, significantly exceeding other age groups. With the progression of time periods, the risks of incidence, mortality, and DALYs for enteric infectious diseases in the population under 20 continued to decline. Compared to earlier birth cohorts, later birth cohorts had lower risks of incidence, mortality, and DALYs.

Conclusion

From 1990 to 2021, the incidence, mortality, and DALYs rates of enteric infectious diseases among the population under 20 years old in China showed a significant downward trend. However, for enteric infectious diseases children under 5 remain the key population, and comprehensive prevention and control measures should be implemented to further reduce the disease burden for this age group.

Enteric infectious diseases  /  Joinpoint regression  /  Disease burden  /  Age-period-cohort model
肖回回, 赵锦, 陈水连, 邱劲松, 周银柱, 谢强明. 1990—2021年中国20岁以下人群肠道传染病疾病负担的年龄-时期-队列分析. 现代预防医学, 2026 , 53 (6) : 1119 -1125 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202510331
Hui-hui XIAO, Jin ZHAO, Shui-lian CHEN, Jin-song QIU, Yin-zhu ZHOU, Qiang-ming XIE. Age-period-cohort analysis on disease burden of enteric infectious diseases among the population under 20 years old, China, 1990 -2021[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2026 , 53 (6) : 1119 -1125 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202510331
Year 2026 volume 53 Issue 6
36
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doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202510331
  • Receive Date:2025-10-28
  • Online Date:2026-11-02
  • Published:2026-03-25
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  • Received:2025-10-28
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    Division of Infectious Diseases Prevention and Control, Changsha Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Changsha Health Inspection Bureau), Changsha, Hunan 41004, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
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属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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