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Age-period-cohort analysis of trends in AIDS and sexually transmitted infection mortality attributed to unsafe sexual behavior in China from 1990 to 2019
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Yi-wei QIU, Li CHENG, Ru-hai BAI
Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(1) : 40 - 44
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Modern Preventive Medicine | 2025, 52(1): 40-44
• Epidemiology and Statistical Methods •
Age-period-cohort analysis of trends in AIDS and sexually transmitted infection mortality attributed to unsafe sexual behavior in China from 1990 to 2019
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Yi-wei QIU, Li CHENG, Ru-hai BAI
Affiliations
  • School of Public Affairs, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210000, China
Published: 2025-01-10 doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202408140
Outline
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Objective

To evaluate the long-term trends in mortality rates attributed to AIDS and sexually transmitted infections (STIs) due to unsafe sexual behavior in China from 1990 to 2019.

Methods

Data on AIDS and STI mortality attributed to unsafe sexual behavior were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019. An age-period-cohort model was employed to assess potential age, period, and cohort effects on long-term trends.

Results

From 1990 to 2019, the overall annual percentage change in mortality rates attributed to unsafe sexual behavior was 3.4% (95%CI: 3.0%-3.7%) for females and 6.4% (95%CI: 6.0%-6.8%) for males in China. Among different age groups, males aged 25 to 79 showed a higher annual percentage change than females (P<0.05). In the reference cohort, male mortality rates increased with age, while female mortality rates declined after the age of 79. The period mortality risk for males exhibited a consistently increasing trend, whereas the period mortality risk for females slightly decreased between 2010 and 2014 but increased thereafter. Mortality risks for both males and females born after 1925-1929 showed an upward trend over time.

Conclusion

Between 1990 and 2019, there was an increase in mortality rates attributed to AIDS and STIs due to unsafe sexual behavior among both males and females in China. Unsafe sexual behavior remains a significant issue in the prevention and control of AIDS and STIs. Strengthening sexual education, promoting condom use during sexual activities, and ensuring cleanliness in sexual behavior are essential.

AIDS  /  Sexually transmitted infections  /  Unsafe sexual behavior  /  Mortality rate  /  Age-period-cohort effects
邱怡玮, 程丽, 柏如海. 1990—2019年中国归因于不安全性行为的艾滋病和性传播感染死亡趋势的年龄-时期-队列分析. 现代预防医学, 2025 , 52 (1) : 40 -44 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202408140
Yi-wei QIU, Li CHENG, Ru-hai BAI. Age-period-cohort analysis of trends in AIDS and sexually transmitted infection mortality attributed to unsafe sexual behavior in China from 1990 to 2019[J]. Modern Preventive Medicine, 2025 , 52 (1) : 40 -44 . DOI: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202408140
Year 2025 volume 52 Issue 1
51
26
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doi: 10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202408140
  • Receive Date:2024-08-11
  • Online Date:2026-10-29
  • Published:2025-01-10
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  • Received:2024-08-11
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    School of Public Affairs, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210000, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
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Percentage of
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Number of
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Percentage of total
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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