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Analysis of the development of carrier rocket in the context of commercial aerospace
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Lei GAO, Zhongliang FU, Haode HU*, Yan KANG
Science & Technology Review | 2026, 44(9) : 124 - 131
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Science & Technology Review | 2026, 44(9): 124-131
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Analysis of the development of carrier rocket in the context of commercial aerospace
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Lei GAO, Zhongliang FU, Haode HU*, Yan KANG
Affiliations
  • Lunar Exploration and Space Engineering Center, Beijing 100190, China
Published: 2026-05-13 doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2025.02.00212
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This paper systematically analyzes the global development trend of low−cost and efficient space access capabilities and their profound impacts on the aerospace industry landscape, space security, and the future space economy, with a focus on the cost revolution driven by reusable launch vehicle technologies. By evaluating the technical paths, economic efficiency, and strategic deployment of leading international companies such as SpaceX, it identifies that the United States has established a generational advantage in this field, forming a virtuous cycle of "order−of−magnitude reduction in launch cost—enhanced market dominance—industrial chain restructuring." In contrast, China faces significant challenges in talent, technological reserves, and commercialization pathways, particularly in the areas of heavy−lift rockets and reusable technologies. The paper further assesses the current development status of China's commercial launch vehicles and concludes that although small− and medium−sized rockets are developing rapidly, they have yet to achieve breakthroughs in cost structure and technological models, making it difficult to support the high−frequency launch demands of satellite constellations and future space industries. Based on these findings, the paper proposes four policy recommendations: leveraging China’s unique national system, promoting coordinated innovation between state−owned and private enterprises, planning ahead for next−generation space transportation systems, and expanding international space information service exports. These aim to build a globally competitive space access capability framework.

carrier rocket  /  commercial aerospace  /  reusable  /  technical−economic efficiency  /  launch−to−orbit cost
Lei GAO, Zhongliang FU, Haode HU, Yan KANG. Analysis of the development of carrier rocket in the context of commercial aerospace[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2026 , 44 (9) : 124 -131 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2025.02.00212
Year 2026 volume 44 Issue 9
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doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2025.02.00212
  • Receive Date:2025-02-21
  • Online Date:2026-05-27
  • Published:2026-05-13
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  • Received:2025-02-21
  • Revised:2025-07-09
Affiliations
    Lunar Exploration and Space Engineering Center, Beijing 100190, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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