Disruptive technologies applied to military have changed the form of wars and determined who will win, while to the national economy they have changed the way of lives and decided the future of the world. This paper reviews the development and characteristics of disruptive technologies, and points out that the biggest challenge facing disruptive technology development is to identify the right one. Anther difficulty is that technological breakthroughs usually need long-term accumulation and systematic promotion. By summarizing the foresight methods of disruptive technologies, this paper puts forward some suggestions on how to develop disruptive technologies, such as strengthening technology foresight, original innovation, cultivation and management.

disruptive technology  /  national security  /  technical foresee