Guided by the theories of the geographic information of the underlying surface and the distribution characteristics of forest, a forest fire weather forecast model is established through analysis of the relationship between meteorological factors (such as atmospheric precipitation, surface air temperature, humidity and wind speed) and the fuel status based on the ground observation data of 2425 stations in China and the T639 numerical forecast data. The predicted results indicate that the current model can well reflect the situations in the local areas of the forest with high probability for a correct prediction of fire weather, thus providing a good guidance for forest fire prognosis and prediction.

T639 model  /  forest fire-danger  /  fuel water content