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The possibility and sustainability of increasing oilseed production in China: An empirical study based on 15 consecutive years of yield growth
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Maolin YAN1, Chang CHEN2, Yao ZENG1, Mengwei SU1, Jue ZHOU3, *, Yang ZHANG4
Science & Technology Review | 2025, 43(10) : 44 - 53
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Science & Technology Review | 2025, 43(10): 44-53
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The possibility and sustainability of increasing oilseed production in China: An empirical study based on 15 consecutive years of yield growth
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Maolin YAN1, Chang CHEN2, Yao ZENG1, Mengwei SU1, Jue ZHOU3, *, Yang ZHANG4
Affiliations
  • 1. State Academy of Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 102600, China
  • 2. School of Applied Economics, University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 102488, China
  • 3. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Information Technology, Beijing 100192, China
  • 4. School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
Published: 2025-05-28 doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2024.10.01491
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From 2008 to 2022, China achieved a "Fifteen Consecutive Years of Abundance" (a term used to describe a sustained period of agricultural abundance) in oilseed production. Analyzing the underlying causes of this achievement is crucial for promoting sustained oilseed production growth. This paper quantitatively measured the contributions of three factors-yield per unit area, cultivated area, and structural adjustment of planting-to the increase in oilseed production during this period through formula decomposition. Focusing on the three major oilseed crops-soybean, rapeseed, and peanut-a Cobb-Douglas production function (C-D production function) model is constructed to analyze the impact of production input, policy, climate, and farmer behavior on oilseed yield per unit area. The results showed that: soybean contributed the most to the increase in oilseed production in China, followed by peanut and rapeseed, while other oilseed crops' contribution was the lowest. The improvement in yield per unit area made the most significant contribution to the increase in oilseed production in China, while the expansion of cultivated area and structural adjustment of planting contributed relatively less, and with the passage of time, the role of increasing per unit area yield in the increasing production of three major oilseed crops had become increasingly important. Seed cost, fertilizer cost, labor input, policy environment, and temperature had significant impacts on oilseed yield per unit area. Among them, seed cost, fertilizer cost, and labor input were important factors driving the increase in oilseed yield per unit area. Finally, based on the research results, targeted policy recommendations are proposed to promote future oilseed production increase.

oilseeds increase production  /  contribution rate  /  yield per unit area  /  influencing factor
Maolin YAN, Chang CHEN, Yao ZENG, Mengwei SU, Jue ZHOU, Yang ZHANG. The possibility and sustainability of increasing oilseed production in China: An empirical study based on 15 consecutive years of yield growth[J]. Science & Technology Review, 2025 , 43 (10) : 44 -53 . DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2024.10.01491
Year 2025 volume 43 Issue 10
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doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2024.10.01491
  • Receive Date:2024-10-27
  • Online Date:2025-12-01
  • Published:2025-05-28
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  • Received:2024-10-27
  • Revised:2025-02-10
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Affiliations
    1. State Academy of Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing 102600, China
    2. School of Applied Economics, University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 102488, China
    3. School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Information Technology, Beijing 100192, China
    4. School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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