Science & Technology Review
|
2017, 35(24): 66-70
• Articles •
A neural network for short term load forecasting based on Sample self adapted of load characteristics clustering
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FANG Fang1, BU Fanpeng2, TIAN Shiming2, QI Linhai3, LI Xiawei4
Affiliations
1. State Grid Beijing Changping Electric Power Supply Company, Beijing 102200, China;
2. China Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing 100192, China;
3. School of Control and Computer Eengineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China;
4. School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
Published: 2017-12-28
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2017.24.008
Outline
This paper introduces the methods and the steps of predicting the power load by the BP neural network with cluster optimization in batch processing time series. Through the preconditioning of historical data, the setting of the initial clustering center and the determination of the optimal number of clusters, a clustering prediction model of the load curve is established based on the clustering results of the historical data and the relevant parameters such as the temperature, the humidity, the air pressure, the wind speed and the time (the current week). The results show that with the clustering algorithm, the related factors and the BP network adaptive rate can be comprehensively considered, while the training speed is improved, to obtain more accurate prediction results.
cluster analysis
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neural networks
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power load forecasting
/
data mining
方芳, 卜凡鹏, 田世明, 齐林海, 李夏威.
基于负荷特性聚类的样本自适应神经网络台区短期负荷预测.
科技导报,
2017
, 35
(24)
: 66
-70
.
DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2017.24.008
FANG Fang, BU Fanpeng, TIAN Shiming, QI Linhai, LI Xiawei.
A neural network for short term load forecasting based on Sample self adapted of load characteristics clustering[J].
Science & Technology Review,
2017
, 35
(24)
: 66
-70
.
DOI: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2017.24.008
Year 2017 volume 35 Issue 24
PDF
611
127
Cite this Article
BibTeX
Article Info
doi: 10.3981/j.issn.1000-7857.2017.24.008
- Receive Date:2017-11-02
- Online Date:2017-12-29
- Published:2017-12-28