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Analysis of influencing factors and construction of a prediction model for acute skin failure in ICU patients
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Quanyan YE1, Guoqing LI1, Yuan XUE1, Xiaoyu ZHAO1, Jinli GUO2
Chinese Nursing Research | 2026, 40(13) : 2320 - 2326
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Chinese Nursing Research | 2026, 40(13): 2320-2326
• Comprehensive Study •
Analysis of influencing factors and construction of a prediction model for acute skin failure in ICU patients
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Quanyan YE1, Guoqing LI1, Yuan XUE1, Xiaoyu ZHAO1, Jinli GUO2
Affiliations
  • 1School of Nursing, Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi 030001 China
  • 2The Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University
Published: 2026-07-10 doi: 10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2026.13.018
Outline
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Objective

To explore the risk factors for acute skin failure patients in intensive care unit(ICU) and to construct a predictive model.

Methods

A total of 377 ICU patients from a tertiary grade A hospital between January 2021 and December 2023 were selected as the study subjects.Univariate analysis and Logistic regression analysis were used to identify the influencing factors for acute skin failure patients in ICU,based on which a risk prediction model was constructed and subsequently validated.

Results

Among the 377 patients,89 developed acute skin failure,yielding an incidence rate of 23.6%.The Logistic regression analysis identified age,sepsis,peripheral perfusion index(PPI) use,albumin level,and vasopressor administration as significant influencing factors for acute skin failure.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the Nomogram model established based on these factors was 0.890,with a sensitivity of 89.2% and a specificity of 78.2%.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated a good model fit(χ²=6.462,P=0.290).

Conclusions

The constructed risk prediction model for acute skin failure patients in ICU demonstrates excellent predictive performance.The model could serve as an effective and practical tool for identifying high-risk patients.

acute skin failure  /  intensive care unit,ICU  /  influencing factors  /  prediction model  /  retrospective study
叶泉滟, 李国庆, 薛媛, 赵晓雨, 郭锦丽. ICU病人急性皮肤衰竭影响因素及预测模型构建. 护理研究, 2026 , 40 (13) : 2320 -2326 . DOI: 10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2026.13.018
Quanyan YE, Guoqing LI, Yuan XUE, Xiaoyu ZHAO, Jinli GUO. Analysis of influencing factors and construction of a prediction model for acute skin failure in ICU patients[J]. Chinese Nursing Research, 2026 , 40 (13) : 2320 -2326 . DOI: 10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2026.13.018
Year 2026 volume 40 Issue 13
43
17
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Article Info
doi: 10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2026.13.018
  • Receive Date:2025-04-09
  • Online Date:2026-10-30
  • Published:2026-07-10
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History
  • Received:2025-04-09
  • Revised:2026-06-01
Affiliations
    1School of Nursing, Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi 030001 China
    2The Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
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Family
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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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