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Construction of a risk prediction model for venous thromboembolism in patients with heart failure
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Lijie YANG, Jianxia ZHANG, Haiting LI, Xue HAN, Jing TIAN
Chinese Nursing Research | 2026, 40(3) : 403 - 410
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Chinese Nursing Research | 2026, 40(3): 403-410
• Original Articles •
Construction of a risk prediction model for venous thromboembolism in patients with heart failure
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Lijie YANG, Jianxia ZHANG, Haiting LI, Xue HAN, Jing TIAN
Affiliations
  • 1First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi 030001 China
Published: 2026-02-10 doi: 10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2026.03.008
Outline
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Objective

To analyze the risk factors for venous thromboembolism(VTE) in patients with heart failure and to construct a risk prediction model.

Methods

Clinical data of 1 799 patients with heart failure from a tertiary grade A hospital in Shanxi province from January 2018 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected.Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis were used to screen the risk factors of venous thromboembolism in patients with heart failure.R software was used to construct a risk prediction model and to verify its prediction efficiency.

Results

Among 1 799 patients with heart failure,205 cases(11.4%) developed venous thromboembolism.Logistic regression analysis showed that age,gender,hospitalization times,hospitalization days,NT-proBNP,D-dimer,lower limb varicose veins and PT-INR were influencing factors for venous thromboembolism in patients with heart failure.Based on the above factors,a nomogram risk prediction model was established.The area under the ROC curve was 0.762(95%CI 0.723-0.800).The consistency index of the model was 0.751.

Conclusions

Age,gender,hospitalization times,hospitalization days,NT-proBNP,D-dimer,lower limb varicose veins and PT-INR were the influencing factors affecting venous thromboembolism in patients with heart failure.The prediction model based on the above risk factors has good predictive value.It could effectively predict the risk of venous embolism in patients with heart failure.

heart failure  /  venous thromboembolism  /  Nomograph  /  risk prediction model  /  influencing factors
杨丽洁, 张建霞, 李海婷, 韩雪, 田晶. 心力衰竭病人静脉血栓栓塞症风险预测模型的构建. 护理研究, 2026 , 40 (3) : 403 -410 . DOI: 10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2026.03.008
Lijie YANG, Jianxia ZHANG, Haiting LI, Xue HAN, Jing TIAN. Construction of a risk prediction model for venous thromboembolism in patients with heart failure[J]. Chinese Nursing Research, 2026 , 40 (3) : 403 -410 . DOI: 10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2026.03.008
Year 2026 volume 40 Issue 3
57
22
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Article Info
doi: 10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2026.03.008
  • Receive Date:2025-02-11
  • Online Date:2026-10-28
  • Published:2026-02-10
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History
  • Received:2025-02-11
  • Revised:2026-01-07
Affiliations
    1First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi 030001 China

Corresponding:

LI Haiting, E-mail:
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
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占总种数比例
Percentage of
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属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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