Objective To construct a predictive model for bacterial growth in braised chicken legs under variable temperature conditions during actual circulation. Methods Based on the one-step method of the Huang model, the growth process of foodborne Escherichia coli (E. coli) in braised chicken legs was studied. Kinetic parameters for E. coli growth and survival were determined through multiple sets of isothermal experiments, ultimately yielding a second-order model describing the relationship between instantaneous colony count, temperature, time and initial colony count. The model was validated using simulation experiments. Results A significance analysis of differences was conducted between the measured growth colony counts of E. coli strains cultured under fluctuating temperatures and the predicted colony counts obtained by the model. The test showed that P=0.926>0.05, indicated that there was no significant difference between the predicted values and the measured values. Conclusion The second-order model constructed in this study can effectively simulate E. coli growth under fluctuating temperatures and is sufficiently reliable. The model, integrated with the R programming language, allows for rapid prediction of E. coli growth under fluctuating temperature conditions, providing a rapid and effective tool for risk assessment of braised meat products in actual circulation.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |