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Simulation study on carbon neutrality technology path in Guangdong power industry based on GD-Enduse model
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Zhitong ZHENG1, 2, Hai TAO2, Songyan REN2, Beibei CHENG2, Peng WANG2
Thermal Power Generation | 2025, 54(1) : 120 - 131
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Thermal Power Generation | 2025, 54(1): 120-131
Power generation technology forum
Simulation study on carbon neutrality technology path in Guangdong power industry based on GD-Enduse model
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Zhitong ZHENG1, 2, Hai TAO2, Songyan REN2, Beibei CHENG2, Peng WANG2
Affiliations
  • 1.School of Mechanical and Power Engineering, Shenyang University of Chemical Technology, Shenyang 110142, China
  • 2.Guangzhou Institute of Energy Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China
Published: 2025-01-25 doi: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202404107
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Carbon neutrality of Guangdong power industry is the premise and important way to achieve the overall carbon neutrality goal. Based on GD-Enduse model, with the overall goal of minimizing the cost of power system, this paper describes three carbon neutral technology paths of Guangdong power and carries out quantitative and qualitative analysis. The results show that scenario CM3 is the optimal carbon neutral technology path, and its installed capacity of renewable energy will reach 60.2% and power generation will account for 51.9%. Nuclear power will grow steadily, generating 25.0% of its electricity. The continuous decommissioning of thermal power units will reduce the number of hours of utilization of retained installed capacity and be reserved for flexible peak-trimming power supply. The carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) ratio of coal and gas power will decrease to 24.0% and 44.0% respectively, while the CCUS ratio of biomass will continue to rise to 81.8%. Therefore, carbon neutrality in Guangdong’s power industry requires the large-scale intervention of CCUS technology and the rapid development of renewable energy technologies led by wind power and photovoltaic. Based on “wind, light, nuclear and storage”, employing the power structure that thermal power is used as flexible peaking power supply, and various power generation technologies and negative carbon technologies flexibly adjust complementary shortboards, can achieve the coordinated development of various types of power supplies.

carbon neutrality in electricity industry  /  GD-Enduse model  /  technology pathways  /  power structure  /  carbon emissions and costs
Zhitong ZHENG, Hai TAO, Songyan REN, Beibei CHENG, Peng WANG. Simulation study on carbon neutrality technology path in Guangdong power industry based on GD-Enduse model[J]. Thermal Power Generation, 2025 , 54 (1) : 120 -131 . DOI: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202404107
  • Strategic Pilot Science and Technology Project supported by Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA29010500)
Year 2025 volume 54 Issue 1
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Article Info
doi: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202404107
  • Receive Date:2024-04-23
  • Online Date:2026-03-06
  • Published:2025-01-25
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  • Received:2024-04-23
Funding
Strategic Pilot Science and Technology Project supported by Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA29010500)
Affiliations
    1.School of Mechanical and Power Engineering, Shenyang University of Chemical Technology, Shenyang 110142, China
    2.Guangzhou Institute of Energy Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
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占总种数比例
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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