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Reliability model is the foundation of reliability analysis. Conventional reliability modeling takes the entire system as the research object, and uses all fault data to fit the distribution function of the system, estimate parameters, and optimize the model, thus to determine the distribution type and distribution function of the system, and then to calculate the reliability indicators of the system. Wind turbine is a typical complex electromechanical system, with different functions, structures, and fault forms of each subsystem. It is obviously inappropriate to use one distribution function to determine the fault distribution of the entire system. Therefore, based on the collected and sorted fault data of wind turbines, the distribution function optimization-based reliability modeling and analysis technology of wind turbines is proposed. By applying the commonly used exponential distribution, normal distribution, log-normal distribution, Weibull distribution and gamma distribution, the distribution function fitting, parameter estimation and goodness of fit analysis of the fault interval of each subsystem of wind turbines are carried out, and the distribution function and subsystem reliability function of the fault interval time of each subsystem are determined. On this basis, a Copula connection function is used to establish the reliability function model for wind turbines, taking into account the fault correlation between subsystems. Moreover, an example analysis is conducted on the fault data of an offshore wind turbine, which verifies the feasibility of the proposed method.
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| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
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