In order to effectively monitor the abnormal tower vibration and ensure the unit operation safety, a data-knowledge-driven variable condition tower vibration prediction method based on long-short term memory (LSTM) and empirical mode decomposition (EMD)-eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm step-by-step modeling is proposed. Firstly, the relationship between environmental and operational variables is stripped out based on the analysis of the unit's operating mechanism and the wind turbine SCADA operating parameters that affect tower vibration are identified. Then, the ultra-short term prediction of unit environmental wind speed and operating power is realized based on LSTM, and the unit data knowledge model is established based on the full working condition historical operating data. Finally, Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT) is used to decompose the vibration signal and extract the low frequency vibration of the tower, and build a tower vibration prediction model based on XGBoost algorithm. Through inputting the predictive variables, the prediction results of the tower low frequency vibration are output, and the prediction interval is determined. The results show that, the tower vibration prediction model can effectively predict the tower vibration, determine the tower operation condition, and ensure the smooth operation of the unit.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |