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Scenario Analysis of Data Centers in China Under Carbon Neutrality Target
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Feng Zhou, Ruimin Wang, Guoyuan Ma, Xianghui Yan
Journal of Refrigeration | 2025, 46(1) : 79 - 85
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Journal of Refrigeration | 2025, 46(1): 79-85
Scenario Analysis of Data Centers in China Under Carbon Neutrality Target
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Feng Zhou, Ruimin Wang, Guoyuan Ma, Xianghui Yan
Affiliations
  • Department of Refrigeration and Cryogenic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China
Published: 2025-02-16 doi: 10.12465/j.issn.0253-4339.2025.01.079
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The low-carbon transformation of data centers is highly significant for achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. This study compared and analyzed the overall situation of data centers in China. Three variables—energy efficiency improvement rate, proportion of non-fossil energy—and negative emission technology intensity were introduced based on the CO2 emission and intensity targets of China in key years, and the total CO2 emissions of the data centers were projected via scenario analysis. The results demonstrated that the power consumption of the data centers increased gradually; the carbon emissions first increased and then decreased, and the power usage effectiveness (PUE) of the data centers decreased gradually. The carbon peak time of the three scenarios is 2030, and the expected times to achieve carbon neutrality are 2059, 2057, and 2055 in the three scenarios. In light of the goal to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, the data center industry should further improve the energy efficiency utilization rate, increase the proportion of non-fossil energy, strengthen the technological innovation of carbon capture and storage, and enhance the level of carbon sinks.

Feng Zhou, Ruimin Wang, Guoyuan Ma, Xianghui Yan. Scenario Analysis of Data Centers in China Under Carbon Neutrality Target[J]. Journal of Refrigeration, 2025 , 46 (1) : 79 -85 . DOI: 10.12465/j.issn.0253-4339.2025.01.079
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  • National Natural Science Foundation of China(51776004)
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Year 2025 volume 46 Issue 1
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Article Info
doi: 10.12465/j.issn.0253-4339.2025.01.079
  • Receive Date：2023-08-18
  • Online Date：2026-03-13
  • Published：2025-02-16
Article Data
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History
  • Received：2023-08-18
  • Revised：2023-11-27
  • Accepted：2023-11-27
Funding
National Natural Science Foundation of China(51776004)
Affiliations
    Department of Refrigeration and Cryogenic Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, 100124, China

Corresponding:

Zhou Feng, male, appointed professor, Department of Refrigeration and Cryogenics Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, 86-13426312128, E-mail: . Research fields: energy utilization and environment control technology of refrigeration and air conditioning, low carbon energy saving techno-logy in data centers, energy saving technology for green buildings, phase-change heat transfer, refrigerant replacement.
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