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To address the challenges of preventing non-random multiple concurrent faults caused by cable aging in shipboard power grids through preventive reconfiguration, and to resolve the issue of unreasonable weight coefficient settings in multi-objective reconfiguration models, thereby enhancing the safety and reconfiguration efficiency of shipboard power grids, a predictive fault reconfiguration method for shipboard power grids based on a double-level optimization strategy is proposed.
A cable aging fault prediction model for shipboard grids was constructed based on Markov chains and thermo-electro-mechanical multi physics analysis. This model was integrated as a constraint into the reconfiguration framework to avoid high-risk branches. A dual-layer optimization strategy was proposed: the upper layer dynamically solves multi-objective weight coefficients using the whale migration algorithm (WMA), while the lower layer determines the optimal switch configuration for grid reconfiguration using a multi-strategy-improved dung beetle optimizer (MSDBO).
After integrating the fault prediction model, the reconfiguration strategy achieved 100% avoidance of high-risk branches (fault probability ≥0.5) proactively. Compared to the conventional two-step passive reconfiguration strategy, convergence speed improved by 47.06%. The dual-layer optimization framework enabled adaptive dynamic adjustment of weight coefficients and increased reconfiguration convergence speed by 56.25%.
The integration of the cable aging fault prediction model and the dual-layer optimization framework effectively enables predictive reconfiguration of shipboard power grids. This approach proactively mitigates non-random faults while significantly improving reconfiguration efficiency and rationality. It offers a novel solution for addressing predictive reconfiguration challenges in non-random multiple-fault scenarios.
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| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
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