收藏切换
Characteristics and scenario analysis of greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles in Henan Province
收藏切换
Quan-kang HAN1, Xue-xue JING1, Ya-lun CHENG1, Ling-ling WANG2, *, Yu-zhe ZHANG3, Ren-cheng ZHU1, **, Jing-nan HU3
China Environmental Science | 2025, 45(12) : 6935 - 6942
Less
收藏切换
China Environmental Science | 2025, 45(12): 6935-6942
• Carbon Emission Control •
Characteristics and scenario analysis of greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles in Henan Province
Full
Quan-kang HAN1, Xue-xue JING1, Ya-lun CHENG1, Ling-ling WANG2, *, Yu-zhe ZHANG3, Ren-cheng ZHU1, **, Jing-nan HU3
Affiliations
  • 1.School of Ecology and Environment, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China
  • 2.Henan Ecological Environment Monitoring and Safety Center, Zhengzhou 450046, China
  • 3.Institute of Atmospheric Environment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China
Published: 2025-12-20
Outline
收藏切换

To evaluate the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and mitigation potential in the transportation sector of Henan Province, localized vehicle emission factors were calculated based on the COPERT model. A 3km × 3km gridded emission inventory was established using ArcGIS, and the spatiotemporal dynamics of vehicle-related GHG emissions were systematically analyzed. Vehicle ownership in Henan Province from 2025 to 2035 was forecast by combining the Gompertz function with the elasticity coefficient method, and emission trends under multiple policy scenarios were examined. The results showed that total vehicle GHG emissions increased from 140 million tonnes to 160 million tonnes during 2019 to 2023, with an average annual growth rate of 2.9%. Carbon dioxide (CO2) accounted for more than 98% of total emissions, while light-duty passenger cars and heavy-duty trucks were identified as the primary contributors. Urban road traffic was responsible for 78.8% of total emissions, and high-emission areas were concentrated in core cities such as Zhengzhou and Luoyang, presenting a spatial pattern of central clustering and peripheral diffusion. Under the baseline scenario, total GHG emissions were projected to reach 170 million tonnes by 2035. In contrast, when new energy vehicle promotion, green commuting, and accelerated retirement of aging vehicles were jointly implemented, total emissions were reduced to 70 million tonnes, representing a 58.1% decrease compared with the baseline. These findings provided quantitative evidence to support carbon management and the optimization of mitigation pathways in the transportation sector of Henan Province.

vehicle emissions  /  greenhouse gases  /  scenario analysis  /  COPERT model  /  control measures
韩全康, 景雪雪, 程亚伦, 王玲玲, 张宇哲, 朱仁成, 胡京南. 河南省机动车温室气体排放特征及情景分析. 中国环境科学, 2025 , 45 (12) : 6935 -6942 .
Quan-kang HAN, Xue-xue JING, Ya-lun CHENG, Ling-ling WANG, Yu-zhe ZHANG, Ren-cheng ZHU, Jing-nan HU. Characteristics and scenario analysis of greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles in Henan Province[J]. China Environmental Science, 2025 , 45 (12) : 6935 -6942 .
Year 2025 volume 45 Issue 12
69
18
Cite this Article
BibTeX
Article Info
  • Receive Date:2025-05-22
  • Online Date:2026-10-08
  • Published:2025-12-20
Article Data
Affiliations
History
  • Received:2025-05-22
Funding
Affiliations
    1.School of Ecology and Environment, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China
    2.Henan Ecological Environment Monitoring and Safety Center, Zhengzhou 450046, China
    3.Institute of Atmospheric Environment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China
References
Share
https://castjournals.cast.org.cn/joweb/zghjkx/EN/
Share to
QR

Scan QR to access full text

Cite this article
BibTeX
Citations
表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
关闭全屏
  • BibTeX
  • EndNote
  • RefWorks
  • TxT