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Multi-scenario simulation of ecosystem services trade-offs and synergies in Chinese urban agglomerations
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Yu ZHANG1, Wan-xu CHEN1, Guan-zheng WANG1, Jia-hui WU1, Jie ZENG1, Zhi-ling LIU2, *
China Environmental Science | 2025, 45(10) : 5742 - 5755
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China Environmental Science | 2025, 45(10): 5742-5755
• Environmental Ecology •
Multi-scenario simulation of ecosystem services trade-offs and synergies in Chinese urban agglomerations
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Yu ZHANG1, Wan-xu CHEN1, Guan-zheng WANG1, Jia-hui WU1, Jie ZENG1, Zhi-ling LIU2, *
Affiliations
  • 1.Hubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, School of Geography and Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
  • 2.School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
Published: 2025-10-20
Outline
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Scientifically predicting the trade-offs and synergies of ecosystem services under multiple scenarios provides an important basis for the sustainable development of Chinese urban agglomerations. Based on multi-source datasets for 2001, 2010 and 2020, the study employed the PLUS-InVEST modelling framework together with trade-offs and synergies measurement methods to analyze land use change, characterize the spatiotemporal features of ecosystem services, and assess their trade-offs and synergies relationships in Chinese urban agglomerations for 2000, 2010, 2020, and scenarios in 2030. The results showed that between 2000 and 2020, the areas of cropland, forest land, grassland, unused land within Chinese urban agglomerations declined continuously, decreasing by 6.30×104km2、7.49×103km2、2.88×104km2、1.09×104km2, respectively. Scenario simulations indicated that the ecological protection scenario effectively curbed these degradation trends. Overall, the ecosystem service levels of urban agglomerations in southern China were higher than those in the north, and the ecological protection scenario yielded higher levels than the other scenarios. Synergistic relationships consistently existed between ecosystem services in urban agglomerations. The findings contributed to enhancing the effectiveness of ecosystem services in Chinese urban agglomerations and provided support for formulating management measures and policy interventions.

ecosystem services  /  trade-offs and synergies  /  scenario simulation  /  InVEST  /  PLUS  /  Chinese urban agglomerations
张宇, 陈万旭, 王官政, 吴佳慧, 曾杰, 刘志玲. 中国城市群生态系统服务权衡协同多情景模拟. 中国环境科学, 2025 , 45 (10) : 5742 -5755 .
Yu ZHANG, Wan-xu CHEN, Guan-zheng WANG, Jia-hui WU, Jie ZENG, Zhi-ling LIU. Multi-scenario simulation of ecosystem services trade-offs and synergies in Chinese urban agglomerations[J]. China Environmental Science, 2025 , 45 (10) : 5742 -5755 .
Year 2025 volume 45 Issue 10
69
20
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Article Info
  • Receive Date:2025-02-13
  • Online Date:2026-10-08
  • Published:2025-10-20
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  • Received:2025-02-13
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Affiliations
    1.Hubei Key Laboratory of Regional Ecology and Environmental Change, School of Geography and Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
    2.School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
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属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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