With the rapid growth of global agricultural trade, agriculture has become one of the key sectors of dioxide carbon (CO2) emission embodied in trade. However, few studies have focused on the transfer of virtual CO2 emission embodied in global agricultural trade and its driving factors. This study quantitatively estimated CO2 emissions embodied in agricultural trade for 141 countries and regions worldwide in 2004, 2007, 2011, and 2014, by using the multi-regional input-output (MRIO) model and the GTAP 10 database. The production-based and consumption-based CO2 emission of the global agricultural sector and virtual CO2 transfer pathways associated with global agricultural trade were investigated. In addition, the structural decomposition analysis (SDA) method was used to analyze the impact of major driving factors on the CO2 emissions embodied in global agricultural trade. The results show that the regions with highest production-based CO2 emissions were the major agricultural producers in the world, including China, the United States, and Latin America. The regions with highest consumption-based CO2 emissions were the predominantly major agricultural consumers, including China, the United States and the Middle East and North Africa. The meat sector exhibited the largest production-based and consumption-based CO2 emissions in the six agricultural sectors. The energy sector was the largest contributor to CO2 emissions due to final demand from the agricultural sector, accounting for more than 40% of total CO2 emissions induced by agricultural sector. The regions with the net CO2 outflow embodied in the agricultural trade were the Latin America and the United States, while the Western Europe, China and the Middle East and North Africa were the net CO2 inflow regions. The input-output structure, final demand structure, and final demand scale are the key drivers that lead to the growth of virtual CO2 emissions embodied in global agricultural trade, leading to increase of 459.6Mt CO2 emissions embodied in agricultural trade over the past decade. The final demand scale was the largest driver factors, accounting for 87.8% of total growth of virtual CO2 emissions. The reduction in global CO2 emission intensity has served as the predominant inhibiting factor for embodied carbon emissions in agricultural trade, resulting in a decrease of 458.4Mt in CO2 emissions over the past decade. The results can provide data support and policy recommendations for reducing CO2 emissions embodied in global agricultural trade from a demand-oriented perspective.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |