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Cross-regional energy system optimization and carbon neutrality scenario analysis in China
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Qing ZHAO, Guang-qing XU*
China Environmental Science | 2025, 45(1) : 557 - 570
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China Environmental Science | 2025, 45(1): 557-570
Carbon Emission Control
Cross-regional energy system optimization and carbon neutrality scenario analysis in China
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Qing ZHAO, Guang-qing XU*
Affiliations
  • School of Ecology & Environment, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China
Published: 2025-01-20
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An inter-regional energy system optimization model, NEMO-China-MR, was constructed in this paper. Based on the economic development and energy demand differences across regions, as well as the regional resource endowments and heterogeneity in new energy development, three scenarios were designed: the reference scenario S0for steadily advancing the"carbon peaking and carbon neutrality" targets, the comprehensive scenario S1 for supply-demand coordination, and the balanced regional development scenario S2. Each scenario achieved both the "carbon peaking and carbon neutrality" targets and the transformation of energy demand while building a new power system. The scenario comparison results indicated that supply-demand coordination influenced the optimal development path of the power system. Energy storage facilities and inter-regional transmission overcame the spatial and temporal mismatches of energy resources. Scenario S1 required consideration of future grid uncertainties, while Scenario S2, which promoted healthy economic growth through balanced regional development, reduced grid transmission pressure and was identified as the most ideal development scenario for the future. Moving forward, it is essential to lead the energy system transition through high-quality economic development, construct a new power system through the coordination of electrification and low-carbon power, and build inter-regional transmission channels while promoting balanced regional development.

new power system  /  energy storage  /  cross-regional transmission  /  regional balanced development  /  scenario analysis
Qing ZHAO, Guang-qing XU. Cross-regional energy system optimization and carbon neutrality scenario analysis in China[J]. China Environmental Science, 2025 , 45 (1) : 557 -570 .
Year 2025 volume 45 Issue 1
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Article Info
  • Receive Date:2024-07-05
  • Online Date:2026-03-18
  • Published:2025-01-20
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  • Received:2024-07-05
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    School of Ecology & Environment, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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