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Comparison of the premature death probability and disease burden of major chronic diseases along with their changing trends between residents in chronic disease comprehensive control and prevention demonstration areas and non-demonstration areas in Jinan from 2013 to 2023
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Ying WANG, Xia MA, Qingchang WANG, Nan WANG, Ziyu WANG, Leiqi CAI, Ailing QI, Jun ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Public Health | 2026, 42(3) : 271 - 276
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Chinese Journal of Public Health | 2026, 42(3): 271-276
• Special Report—Chronic Disease Prevention and Control •
Comparison of the premature death probability and disease burden of major chronic diseases along with their changing trends between residents in chronic disease comprehensive control and prevention demonstration areas and non-demonstration areas in Jinan from 2013 to 2023
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Ying WANG, Xia MA, Qingchang WANG, Nan WANG, Ziyu WANG, Leiqi CAI, Ailing QI, Jun ZHANG
Affiliations
  • Jinan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250021, China
Published: 2026-03-10 doi: 10.11847/zgggws1146924
Outline
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Objective

To compare the premature death probability and disease burden of major chronic diseases along with their changing trends among residents in chronic disease comprehensive control and prevention demonstration areas (demonstration areas) and non-demonstration areas in Jinan city, thus providing a basis for improving the residents′ health.

Methods

Using mortality data from three demonstration areas and three non-demonstration areas in Jinan, 2013 – 2023, we compared and analyzed age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), premature mortality probability, and standardized years of life lost (YLL) rates of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), malignant tumors, chronic respiratory diseases (CRD), and diabetes mellitus (DM). The changing trends were assessed based on the average annual percentage change (AAPC).

Results

The demonstration areas had higher average ASMR and standardized YLL rates of CVD, malignant tumors, and the four major chronic diseases and lower average ASMR and standardized YLL rates of CRD and DM than the non-demonstration areas. Significant declining trends were observed for the ASMR of CVD (AAPC = –1.33%, 95%CI: –2.21% to –0.46%), malignant tumors (AAPC = –3.33%, 95%CI: –4.47% to –2.18%), CRD (AAPC = –6.69%, 95%CI: –8.29% to –5.07%), and the four major chronic diseases (AAPC = –2.22%, 95%CI: –2.94% to –1.50%) as well as the standardized YLL rates of CVD (AAPC = –1.66%, 95%CI: –2.50% to –0.81%), malignant tumors (AAPC = –3.96%, 95%CI: –5.23% to –2.68%), CRD (AAPC = –7.41%, 95%CI: –9.12% to –5.67%), and the four major chronic diseases (AAPC = –2.73%, 95%CI: –3.42% to –2.04%), with greater declines in the demonstration areas. The demonstration areas had higher average annual premature death probabilities of malignant tumors and the four major chronic diseases and lower average annual premature death probabilities of CVD, CRD, and DM than the non-demonstration areas. Reductions in premature death probability were observed for CVD (AAPC = –1.70%, 95%CI: –2.57% to –0.82%), malignant tumors (AAPC = –3.60%, 95%CI: –4.80% to –2.39%), CRD (AAPC = –5.81%, 95%CI: –7.90% to –3.68%), and the four major chronic diseases (AAPC = –2.56%, 95%CI: –3.36% to –1.75%), with greater declines in the demonstration areas.

Conclusions

The establishment of demonstration areas in Jinan has significantly reduced premature death burden from CVD, malignant tumors, and CRD. These interventions have shown pronounced benefits for the people aged 30–69. Nevertheless, the prevention and control of DM still need to be strengthened.

major chronic diseases  /  premature death probability  /  disease burden  /  changing trend  /  chronic disease comprehensive control and prevention  /  demonstration areas  /  non-demonstration areas  /  Jinan city
王莹, 马霞, 王庆昌, 王楠, 王子瑜, 蔡雷琦, 亓爱玲, 张军. 2013—2023年济南市慢性病综合防控示范区与非示范区居民重大慢性病早死概率和疾病负担及其变化趋势比较. 中国公共卫生, 2026 , 42 (3) : 271 -276 . DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1146924
Ying WANG, Xia MA, Qingchang WANG, Nan WANG, Ziyu WANG, Leiqi CAI, Ailing QI, Jun ZHANG. Comparison of the premature death probability and disease burden of major chronic diseases along with their changing trends between residents in chronic disease comprehensive control and prevention demonstration areas and non-demonstration areas in Jinan from 2013 to 2023[J]. Chinese Journal of Public Health, 2026 , 42 (3) : 271 -276 . DOI: 10.11847/zgggws1146924
Year 2026 volume 42 Issue 3
105
43
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doi: 10.11847/zgggws1146924
  • Receive Date:2025-01-11
  • Online Date:2026-10-23
  • Published:2026-03-10
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  • Received:2025-01-11
  • Revised:2025-05-10
  • Accepted:2025-08-06
Affiliations
    Jinan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan 250021, China

Corresponding:

ZHANG Jun, E-mail:
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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