Article(id=1324050679366558422, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, issueId=1324050669933572771, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202508086, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1754582400000, receivedDateStr=2025-08-08, revisedDate=null, revisedDateStr=null, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1793607881633, onlineDateStr=2026-11-02, pubDate=1778342400000, pubDateStr=2026-05-10, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1793607881633, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-11-02, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1793607881633, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1793607881633, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1324050669933572771, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, year='2026', volume='53', issue='9', pageStart='1537', pageEnd='1728', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1778342400000', pubDateStr='2026-05-10', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=-1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1793607879384, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1793670100562, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1324311644528050975, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, issueId=1324050669933572771, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1324311644528050976, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, issueId=1324050669933572771, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=1574, endPage=1578, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1324050680729707223, articleId=1324050679366558422, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, language=EN, title=Application effect of machine learning models in predicting intensive care unit length of stay in adult patients: a systematic review and Meta-analysis, columnId=1240413921954295836, journalTitle=Modern Preventive Medicine, columnName=Epidemiology and Statistical Methods, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
Objective To systematically evaluate the application effects of different types of machine learning (ML) models in predicting intensive care unit length of stay (ICULOS) in adult patients.
Methods By searching China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang Database, and English databases PubMed and Web of Science, we collected studies on machine learning to predict ICULOS in adult patients published from the establishment of the database to October 2025, screened the included literature, and performed Meta-analysis using RStudio.
Results A total of 40 articles were included, among which the three most frequently used models were random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and gradient boosting machine (GBM) models. The overall prediction performance was good, with a combined area under curve (AUC) of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.79-0.85). Among the prediction models for ICULOS in adult patients with cardiovascular-related diseases, XGBoost had the best prediction effect (AUC=0.88, 95% CI: 0.86-0.93). Among the prediction models for ICULOS in adult patients with central nervous system-related diseases, mixed models showed the best predictive performance (AUC=0.90). In the prediction models of ICULOS of adult patients with other diseases and undifferentiated disease types, RF had the best prediction effect (AUCother specific diseases=0.89, 95% CI: 0.84-0.94; AUCundifferentiated diseases=0.95).
Conclusion ML showed good performance in predicting ICULOS of adult patients. In the prediction of ICULOS of adult patients with different diseases, the appropriate ML model should be selected in combination with the specific disease and data structure.
, authors=Yu-jia ZHU
1, 2, Yue MA
1, 2, Ling-gen GAO
3, Hong-wei WANG
4, Yan YUAN
1, Qun-xia MAO
1, authorsList=Yu-jia ZHU, Yue MA, Ling-gen GAO, Hong-wei WANG, Yan YUAN, Qun-xia MAO, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=Qun-xia MAO, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1324050682654892770, articleId=1324050679366558422, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, language=CN, title=基于机器学习模型预测成年患者重症监护室住院时间的应用效果——系统综述和Meta分析, columnId=1228016567632462653, journalTitle=现代预防医学, columnName=流行病与统计方法, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
目的 系统评估机器学习在预测成年患者重症监护室住院时间(intensive care unit length of stay,ICULOS)的应用效果。
方法 通过检索中国知网、万方数据库及英文数据库Pubmed和Web of Science,收集建库至2025年10月发表的有关机器学习预测成年患者ICULOS的研究,采用Rstudio对纳入文献进行meta分析。
结果 共纳入40篇文献,其中采用较多的三类模型是随机森林、极端梯度提升(eXtreme gradient boosting,XGBoost)和梯度提升机模型。整体预测性能良好,整体报告受试者工作特征曲线下面积(area under curve,AUC)为0.82(95%CI:0.79~0.85),其中在心血管相关疾病成年患者ICULOS的预测中,XGBoost预测效果相对最优(AUC=0.88;95%CI:0.86~0.93);中枢神经相关疾病成年患者ICULOS的预测中,混合模型效果相对最好(AUC=0.9);其他单种疾病和未区分疾病类型的成年患者ICULOS的预测中,随机森林预测效果相对最优(AUC其他单种疾病=0.89,95%CI:0.84~0.94;AUC未区分疾病类型=0.95)。
结论 机器学习在成年患者ICULOS预测中效果良好。但对不同疾病ICULOS的预测应结合具体疾病和数据结构选择合适的模型。
, authors=朱昱嘉
1, 2, 马跃
1, 2, 高凌根
3, 王宏伟
4, 袁艳
1, 茅群霞
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朱昱嘉(2000—),女,硕士在读,研究方向:重症监护资源利用研究
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本刊刊出的所有文章不代表中华预防医学会和本刊编委会的观点,除非特别声明。, copyrightOwner=中华预防医学会和四川大学华西公共卫生学院, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=6nHifIlzi3yAzHfhxQaQhw==, magXml=KMpi4mrRejIgBr2OhZOJOw==, pdfUrl=null, pdf=tkHEhy4hzesGs3Be8WSdXg==, pdfFileSize=1082238, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=wSfo/Vho/vTPU3Rkpn4UtQ==, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=7FvyMkWThJKehzA/RtEX/g==, mapNumber=null, fund=null)}, authors=[Author(id=1324050683363730157, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1324050679366558422, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1324050685062423280, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1324050679366558422, authorId=1324050683363730157, language=EN, stringName=Yu-jia ZHU, firstName=Yu-jia, middleName=null, lastName=ZHU, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=
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