Article(id=1311350537472274626, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, issueId=1311350363295417204, articleNumber=null, orderNo=null, doi=10.20043/j.cnki.MPM.202512292, pmid=null, cstr=null, oa=null, hot=null, price=null, onlineType=0, articleFormat=0, articleType=null, articleTypeStr=null, receivedDate=1765987200000, receivedDateStr=2025-12-18, revisedDate=null, revisedDateStr=null, acceptedDate=null, acceptedDateStr=null, onlineDate=1790579931848, onlineDateStr=2026-09-28, pubDate=1787587200000, pubDateStr=2026-08-25, doiRegisterDate=null, doiRegisterDateStr=null, onlineIssueDate=1790579931848, onlineIssueDateStr=2026-09-28, onlineJustAcceptDate=null, onlineJustAcceptDateStr=null, onlineFirstDate=null, onlineFirstDateStr=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, createTime=1790579931848, creator=13701087609, updateTime=1790579931848, updator=13701087609, issue=Issue{id=1311350363295417204, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, year='2026', volume='53', issue='16', pageStart='2881', pageEnd='3072', issueExtLink='null', onlineDate='null', pubDate='1787587200000', pubDateStr='2026-08-25', beforeIssueId=null, nextIssueId=null, price=null, status=1, issueComplete=1, articleOrder=1, issueType=1, specialIssue=null, createTime=1790579890321, creator='13701087609', updateTime=1790584112451, updator='13701087609', preIssue=null, nextIssue=null, articleTotal=null, ext={EN=IssueExt(id=1311368072267653663, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, issueId=1311350363295417204, language=EN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=), CN=IssueExt(id=1311368072267653664, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, issueId=1311350363295417204, language=CN, specialIssueTitle=, coverIllustrator=null, specialIssueEditor=, specialIssueAbout=)}, issueFiles=null, downloadFileDto=null}, startPage=3041, endPage=3049, ext={EN=ArticleExt(id=1311350537652629699, articleId=1311350537472274626, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, language=EN, title=Burden and forecast analysis of lower respiratory tract infection diseases, China，1990—2023, columnId=1228016573156360233, journalTitle=Modern Preventive Medicine, columnName=Disease Control and Prevention, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
Objective To analyze the changes in the disease burden of lower respiratory tract infections (LRIs) in China from 1990 to 2023 and predict future trends.
Methods Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life year (DALYs) rate (ASDR) of LRIs in China from 1990 to 2023 were described; the Joinpoint model was used to analyze the temporal trend; the age-period-cohort (APC) model was applied to decompose age, period and cohort effects; the R programming was performed to analyze the correlation with the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), the changing characteristics of pathogens, and the trend over the next 12 years.
Results From 1990 to 2023, the ASIR, ASMR and ASDR of LRIs in China decreased significantly (EAPC: -3.46%, -6.42%, and -9.29%, respectively,P<0.001). Joinpoint analysis indicated that affected by non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic, ASIR reached a trough in 2020, while ASMR and ASDR bottomed out in 2021, followed by a rebound. APC results indicated that the net drift values for ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR of -2.16%, -4.94%, and -4.93%, respectively (P<0.05), driven by the combined effects of age, period, and cohort. The disease burden of all age groups decreased significantly, but the age group with the heaviest disease burden changed from <5 age group to ≥70 age group. The trend of ASDR attributed to various pathogens was consistent with the overall trend. Bacteria were the main pathogens, among which Streptococcus pneumoniae was dominant. Projections indicate that by 2035, the ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR of LRIs in China would decrease to 1 282.49, 6.30, and 91.24 per 100 000 population, respectively.
Conclusion From 1990 to 2023, the disease burden of LRIs and pathogen-related burden in China decreased significantly. Although the burden will continue to decline over the next 12 years, bacterial infections and the elderly population remain the long-term priorities for prevention and control.
, authors=Xiao YU, Qing-qing JIANG, Hao-tian CHEN, Shuang-shuang WANG, You-de LIU, authorsList=Xiao YU, Qing-qing JIANG, Hao-tian CHEN, Shuang-shuang WANG, You-de LIU, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=You-de LIU, authorNote=null, correspAuthorsNote=null, copyrightStatement=null, copyrightOwner=null, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=null, magXml=null, pdfUrl=null, pdf=null, pdfFileSize=null, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=null, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=null, mapNumber=null, fund=null), CN=ArticleExt(id=1311350540395704528, articleId=1311350537472274626, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, language=CN, title=1990—2023年中国下呼吸道感染疾病负担及预测分析, columnId=1228016573844226129, journalTitle=现代预防医学, columnName=疾病预防控制, runingTitle=null, highlight=null, articleAbstract=
目的 分析1990—2023年中国下呼吸道感染（LRIs）疾病负担变化特征并预测未来趋势。
方法 基于2023年全球疾病负担研究数据，描述1990—2023年中国LRIs标化发病率（ASIR）、标化死亡率（ASMR）、标化伤残调整寿命年（DALYs）率（ASDR）；利用Joinpoint模型分析时间变化趋势；利用年龄-时期-队列（APC）模型解析年龄、时期和队列效应；利用R语言编程分析与社会人口学指数（SDI）的关联性、病原体变化特征及未来12年变化趋势。
结果 1990—2023年，中国LRIs的ASIR、ASMR和ASDR均显著下降，EAPC分别为-3.46%、-6.42%、-9.29%（P<0.001）；Joinpoint分析表明，受新冠疫情非药物干预措施影响，ASIR于2020年、ASMR和ASDR于2021年降至低点后出现回升。APC结果显示，ASIR、ASMR和ASDR的净漂移值分别为-2.16%、-4.94%、-4.93%（P<0.05），受年龄、时期、队列效应共同影响。各年龄组疾病负担均明显下降，负担重心由<5岁儿童转向≥70岁老年人群。各类病原体所致ASDR变化趋势与总体一致，细菌为主要病原体，其中肺炎链球菌占主导地位。预测显示，2035年中国LRIs 的ASIR、ASMR和ASDR将分别降至1 282.49/10万、6.30/10万、91.24/10万。
结论 1990—2023年中国LRIs疾病负担及主要病原体相关负担显著降低，尽管未来12年将持续走低，但细菌感染、老年人群仍为长期防控重点。
, authors=于晓, 姜青青, 陈浩田, 王爽爽, 刘友德, authorsList=于晓, 姜青青, 陈浩田, 王爽爽, 刘友德, authorCompany=null, correspAuthors=刘友德, authorNote=
于晓（1994—），女，硕士，主管医师，研究方向：医院感染管理
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本刊刊出的所有文章不代表中华预防医学会和本刊编委会的观点，除非特别声明。, copyrightOwner=中华预防医学会和四川大学华西公共卫生学院, extLink=null, articleAbsUrl=null, sourceXml=hRcWlguL3SnHNUfwTNGobQ==, magXml=051z6823hFLKhpludD/O1w==, pdfUrl=null, pdf=8MQz3z2Ua4UJ1RBM/HhnuA==, pdfFileSize=1519345, pdfExtLink=null, richHtmlUrl=null, mobilePdfUrl=null, reviewReport=null, pdfFirstPage=null, abstractGraph=AHL40dT6jCDr4WXPuRgQVA==, abstractGraphContent=null, abstractVideo=null, citation=null, cebUrl=null, magXmlContent=63yhTy5ItGfSQVbHIdhq/w==, mapNumber=null, fund=null)}, authors=[Author(id=1311350540689305813, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, orderNo=0, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, nameCn=null, orcid=null, stid=null, country=null, authorPic=null, dead=0, email=null, emailSecond=null, emailThird=null, correspondingAuthor=0, authorType=1, ext={EN=AuthorExt(id=1311350540773191895, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, authorId=1311350540689305813, language=EN, stringName=Xiao YU, firstName=Xiao, middleName=null, lastName=YU, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=Yantai Qishan Hospital, Yantai, Shandong 264000, China, bio=null, bioImg=null, bioContent=null, aboutCorrespAuthor=null), CN=AuthorExt(id=1311350540848689368, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, authorId=1311350540689305813, language=CN, stringName=于晓, firstName=null, middleName=null, lastName=null, prefix=null, suffix=null, authorComment=null, nameInitials=null, affiliation=null, department=null, xref=null, address=烟台市奇山医院，山东 烟台 264000, bio={"content":"
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2024.(In Chinese), articleTitle=2023 national health literacy monitoring report, refAbstract=null)], funds=[Fund(id=1311350546007683333, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, awardId=202303081264, language=CN, fundingSource=山东省医药卫生科技项目(202303081264), fundOrder=null, country=null)], companyList=[AuthorCompany(id=1311350540622196945, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, xref=null, ext=[AuthorCompanyExt(id=1311350540630585554, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, companyId=1311350540622196945, language=EN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=Yantai Qishan Hospital, Yantai, Shandong 264000, China), AuthorCompanyExt(id=1311350540638974163, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, companyId=1311350540622196945, language=CN, country=null, province=null, city=null, postcode=null, companyName=null, departmentName=null, remark=烟台市奇山医院，山东 烟台 264000)])], figs=[ArticleFig(id=1311350544237687031, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=EN, label=Fig.1, caption=
Trends in the burden of LRIs in China, 1990-2023, figureFileSmall=MDTGL+LIx4QksKpBdwgUIQ==, figureFileBig=AHL40dT6jCDr4WXPuRgQVA==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350544363516152, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=CN, label=图1, caption=
1990—2023年中国LRIs疾病负担变化趋势注：A为ASIR变化趋势；B为ASMR变化趋势；C为ASDR变化趋势；*为P<0.05。
, figureFileSmall=MDTGL+LIx4QksKpBdwgUIQ==, figureFileBig=AHL40dT6jCDr4WXPuRgQVA==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350544992661753, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=EN, label=Fig.2, caption=
Correlation analysis between the burden of LRIs and SDI in China, 1990-2023, figureFileSmall=J5rvLd6r4Gs7siuZf/xIMQ==, figureFileBig=yhZZjeQcl49acNpcDvglrA==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545055576314, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=CN, label=图2, caption=
1990—2023年中国LRIs 疾病负担与SDI相关性分析注：A为ASIR与SDI相关性；B为ASMR与SDI相关性；C为ASDR与SDI相关性。
, figureFileSmall=J5rvLd6r4Gs7siuZf/xIMQ==, figureFileBig=yhZZjeQcl49acNpcDvglrA==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545122685179, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=EN, label=Fig.3, caption=
Age-period-cohort model of disease burden of lower respiratory infections LRIs in China, 1990-2023, figureFileSmall=7JtEH2/TSizUPgk3PJ0bOA==, figureFileBig=AaD6+gnlUuxvmS/Qwz3d2g==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545189794044, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=CN, label=图3, caption=
1990—2023年中国LRIs疾病负担年龄-时期-队列模型注：A为ASIR纵向年龄曲线；B为ASMR纵向年龄曲线；C为ASDR纵向年龄曲线；D为ASIR时期率比；E为ASMR时期率比；F为ASDR时期率比；G为ASIR队列率比；H为ASMR队列率比；I为ASDR队列率比；阴影区域为95%CI。
, figureFileSmall=7JtEH2/TSizUPgk3PJ0bOA==, figureFileBig=AaD6+gnlUuxvmS/Qwz3d2g==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545269485821, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=EN, label=Fig.4, caption=
Stacked area chart of ASDR caused by pathogens in LRIs of China, 1990-2023, figureFileSmall=WadB5JX4SrtmjUsNEY3olw==, figureFileBig=HoFcMnVcrcd9dcvPk/umlQ==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545407897854, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=CN, label=图4, caption=
1990—2023年中国LRIs中病原体所致ASDR的堆积面积图, figureFileSmall=WadB5JX4SrtmjUsNEY3olw==, figureFileBig=HoFcMnVcrcd9dcvPk/umlQ==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545462423807, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=EN, label=Fig.5, caption=
Sankey diageam of ASDR caused by pathogens in LRIs of China, 1990-2023, figureFileSmall=fRPDjGVLAbKbsLkGp9wQJw==, figureFileBig=m4NSt2yFYNqPrKRTz54P+g==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545521144064, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=CN, label=图5, caption=
1990—2023年中国LRIs中病原体所致ASDR的桑基图, figureFileSmall=fRPDjGVLAbKbsLkGp9wQJw==, figureFileBig=m4NSt2yFYNqPrKRTz54P+g==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545605030145, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=EN, label=Fig.6, caption=
Predicted trends in the burden of LRIs in China, 2024-2035, figureFileSmall=okh7Pj9pX31pczk0Ahgf4Q==, figureFileBig=2/0NBF+Nnz5qa0lB76wNAQ==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545705693442, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=CN, label=图6, caption=
2024—2035年中国LRIs疾病负担预测趋势注：A为ASIR预测；B为ASMR预测；C为ASDR预测；阴影区域为95%CI。
, figureFileSmall=okh7Pj9pX31pczk0Ahgf4Q==, figureFileBig=2/0NBF+Nnz5qa0lB76wNAQ==, tableContent=null), ArticleFig(id=1311350545781190915, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=EN, label=Table 1, caption=
Disease burden of LRIs in China, 1990-2023（1/10万，95%CI）
, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
| 变量 | 1990年 |
| 男性 | 女性 | 总体 |
| ASIR | | | |
| 中国 | 5 877.06(5 303.25~6 501.61) | 4 742.74(4 335.24~5 183.12) | 5 307.10(4 812.62~5 842.75) |
| <5岁 | 29 734.53(25 053.08~34 975.75) | 19 331.12(16 116.05~22 789.15) | 24 810.71(20 818.02~29 185.44) |
| 5~14岁 | 4 048.91(3 124.20~5 270.97) | 3 556.63(2 765.84~4 536.91) | 3 811.72(2 956.78~4 950.74) |
| 15~49岁 | 850.85(751.48~954.87) | 1 027.26(902.03~1 160.00) | 936.09(826.99~1 055.05) |
| 50~69 | 3 906.07(3 477.27~4 391.33) | 4 337.90(3 856.15~4 930.43) | 4 114.25(3 660.77~4 650.05) |
| ≥70岁 | 13 122.88(11 601.76~14 955.27) | 13 435.40(11 907.00~15 316.15) | 13 300.84(11 861.14~15 252.95) |
| ASMR | | | |
| 中国 | 65.95(53.95~78.50) | 49.64(39.86~62.43) | 57.59(49.01~67.04) |
| <5岁 | 367.93(286.35~457.33) | 253.31(207.73~308.55) | 313.68(267.91~364.17) |
| 5~14岁 | 7.13(4.48~10.43) | 6.93(4.21~10.74) | 7.03(5.11~9.29) |
| 15~49岁 | 3.72(2.36~5.29) | 3.33(2.00~5.14) | 3.53(2.57~4.67) |
| 50~69岁 | 26.89(17.81~36.44) | 21.73(12.99~34.20) | 24.4(17.82~31.60) |
| ≥70岁 | 230.14(155.83~306.33) | 219.52(143.22~340.76) | 224.1(165.34~294.48) |
| ASDR | | | |
| 中国 | 3 944.12(3 217.21~4 806.34) | 2 842.28(2 385.26~3 378.02) | 3 418.54(2 936.43~3 967.67) |
| <5岁 | 32 954.31(25 654.59~40 953.95) | 22 661.33(18 605.64~27 614.52) | 28 082.76(23 990.48~32 604.04) |
| 5~14岁 | 584.58(368.81~852.82) | 567.92(346.33~874.99) | 576.56(419.67~760.89) |
| 15~49岁 | 218.38(137.09~310.38) | 198.43(120.19~306.73) | 208.74(150.33~274.34) |
| 50~69岁 | 796.09(525.73~1 078.50) | 634.55(379.09~991.13) | 718.22(521.61~924.22) |
| ≥70岁 | 3 504.87(2 418.62~4 676.38) | 3 138.69(2 038.61~4 886.79) | 3 296.35(2 440.63~4 296.09) |
| 变量 | 2023年 |
| 男性 | 女性 | 总体 |
| ASIR | | | |
| 中国 | 2 235.28(2 061.04~2 443.36) | 1 882.03(1 736.17~2 052.36) | 2 050.45(1 891.31~2 235.71) |
| <5岁 | 5 654.80(4 779.45~6 632.89） | 3 515.53(2 863.73~4 159.13) | 4 658.02(3 894.82~5 471.68) |
| 5~14岁 | 2 138.11(1 652.32~2 798.49) | 2 133.66(1 655.43~2 671.73) | 2 136.03(1 651.04~2 681.60) |
| 15~49岁 | 639.72(566.67~720.66) | 761.59(667.33~870.15) | 697.96(617.85~789.04) |
| 50~69 | 2 158.15(1 933.87~2 395.30) | 2 049.19(1 821.49~2 305.20) | 2 103.68(1 878.52~2 331.64) |
| ≥70岁 | 9 156.39(8 286.72~10 150.94) | 7 415.4(6 630.67~8 282.33) | 8 217.77(7 391.42~9 088.55) |
| ASMR | | | |
| 中国 | 11.70(8.15~17.08) | 6.99(5.06~9.38) | 9.11(7.00~11.37) |
| <5岁 | 8.72(6.06~11.43) | 6.79(5.42~8.73) | 7.82(6.23~9.59) |
| 5~14岁 | 1.2(0.76~1.79) | 0.95(0.62~1.48) | 1.08(0.74~1.49) |
| 15~49岁 | 1.2(0.80~1.74) | 0.53(0.35~0.78) | 0.88(0.63~0.19) |
| 50~69岁 | 7.82(5.30~12.38) | 3.42(2.20~5.13) | 5.62(4.11~7.87) |
| ≥70岁 | 116.88(78.69~175.30) | 81.38(55.79~115.07) | 97.74(72.43~128.20) |
| ASDR | | | |
| 中国 | 286.22(218.88~379.06) | 180.94(142.30~222.92) | 232.15(188.27~279.96) |
| <5岁 | 784.33(546.87~1 025.28) | 608.44(487.41~780.64) | 702.37(561.61~859.22) |
| 5~14岁 | 100.20(64.67~148.11) | 79.59(52.72~122.18) | 90.54(62.14~122.95) |
| 15~49岁 | 64.53(42.74~93.46) | 29.76(19.54~43.38) | 47.92(34.27~64.37) |
| 50~69岁 | 230.29(157.45~363.60) | 100.39(65.08~148.11) | 165.35(121.44~233.06) |
| ≥70岁 | 1 469.48(987.86~2 187.19) | 946.22(644.56~1 331.49) | 1 187.37(887.38~1 557.52) |
| 变量 | 1990-2023 EAPC |
| 男性 | 女性 | 总体 |
| ASIR | | | |
| 中国 | -3.46(-3.68~-3.25) | -3.43(-3.65~-3.21) | -3.46(-3.67~-3.24) |
| <5岁 | -5.50(-5.82~-5.18) | -6.50(-6.94~-6.06) | -5.82(-6.17~-5.48) |
| 5~14岁 | -2.21(-2.52~-1.90) | -1.81(-2.07~-1.54) | -2.03(-2.31~-1.74) |
| 15~49岁 | -1.31(-1.47~-1.15) | -1.21(-1.36~-1.06) | -1.26(-1.41~-1.11) |
| 50~69 | -2.27(-2.46~-2.08) | -2.50(-2.67~-2.32) | -2.38(-2.56~-2.20) |
| ≥70岁 | -1.50(-1.66~-1.34) | -2.33(-2.50~-2.16) | -1.93(-2.09~-1.77) |
| ASMR | | | |
| 中国 | -6.08(-6.34~-5.83) | -6.74(-7.03~-6.45) | -6.42(-6.68~-6.16) |
| <5岁 | -12.15(-12.89~-11.42) | -11.76(-12.60~-10.92) | -12.00(-12.77~-11.22) |
| 5~14岁 | -6.41(-6.76~-6.07) | -6.87(-7.18~-6.56) | -6.60(-6.93~-6.28) |
| 15~49岁 | -4.34(-4.72~-3.96) | -6.41(-6.81~-6.01) | -5.11(-5.51~-4.71) |
| 50~69岁 | -4.45(-4.86~-4.03) | -6.43(-6.79~-6.07) | -5.20(-5.60~-4.81) |
| ≥70岁 | -2.46(-2.61~-2.30) | -3.35(-3.49~-3.22) | -2.89(-3.02~-2.75) |
| ASDR | | | |
| 中国 | -9.10(-9.46~-8.74) | -9.45(-9.91~-8.98) | -9.29(-9.69~-8.89) |
| <5岁 | -12.14(-12.87~-11.41) | -11.76(-12.60~-10.92) | -11.99(-12.76~-11.21) |
| 5~14岁 | -6.35(-6.70~-6.01) | -6.78(-7.10~-6.46) | -6.53(-6.86~-6.20) |
| 15~49岁 | -4.64(-5.03~-4.25) | -6.62(-7.03~-6.21) | -5.39(-5.81~-4.98) |
| 50~69岁 | -4.43(-4.83~-4.03) | -6.39(-6.75~-6.04) | -5.18(-5.56~-4.79) |
| ≥70岁 | -3.11(-3.27~-2.95) | -4.05(-4.20~-3.90) | -3.54(-3.68~-3.39) |
), ArticleFig(id=1311350545873465604, tenantId=1146029695717560320, journalId=1227665162245664772, articleId=1311350537472274626, language=CN, label=表1, caption=
1990—2023年中国LRIs疾病负担（1/10万，95%CI）
, figureFileSmall=null, figureFileBig=null, tableContent=
| 变量 | 1990年 |
| 男性 | 女性 | 总体 |
| ASIR | | | |
| 中国 | 5 877.06(5 303.25~6 501.61) | 4 742.74(4 335.24~5 183.12) | 5 307.10(4 812.62~5 842.75) |
| <5岁 | 29 734.53(25 053.08~34 975.75) | 19 331.12(16 116.05~22 789.15) | 24 810.71(20 818.02~29 185.44) |
| 5~14岁 | 4 048.91(3 124.20~5 270.97) | 3 556.63(2 765.84~4 536.91) | 3 811.72(2 956.78~4 950.74) |
| 15~49岁 | 850.85(751.48~954.87) | 1 027.26(902.03~1 160.00) | 936.09(826.99~1 055.05) |
| 50~69 | 3 906.07(3 477.27~4 391.33) | 4 337.90(3 856.15~4 930.43) | 4 114.25(3 660.77~4 650.05) |
| ≥70岁 | 13 122.88(11 601.76~14 955.27) | 13 435.40(11 907.00~15 316.15) | 13 300.84(11 861.14~15 252.95) |
| ASMR | | | |
| 中国 | 65.95(53.95~78.50) | 49.64(39.86~62.43) | 57.59(49.01~67.04) |
| <5岁 | 367.93(286.35~457.33) | 253.31(207.73~308.55) | 313.68(267.91~364.17) |
| 5~14岁 | 7.13(4.48~10.43) | 6.93(4.21~10.74) | 7.03(5.11~9.29) |
| 15~49岁 | 3.72(2.36~5.29) | 3.33(2.00~5.14) | 3.53(2.57~4.67) |
| 50~69岁 | 26.89(17.81~36.44) | 21.73(12.99~34.20) | 24.4(17.82~31.60) |
| ≥70岁 | 230.14(155.83~306.33) | 219.52(143.22~340.76) | 224.1(165.34~294.48) |
| ASDR | | | |
| 中国 | 3 944.12(3 217.21~4 806.34) | 2 842.28(2 385.26~3 378.02) | 3 418.54(2 936.43~3 967.67) |
| <5岁 | 32 954.31(25 654.59~40 953.95) | 22 661.33(18 605.64~27 614.52) | 28 082.76(23 990.48~32 604.04) |
| 5~14岁 | 584.58(368.81~852.82) | 567.92(346.33~874.99) | 576.56(419.67~760.89) |
| 15~49岁 | 218.38(137.09~310.38) | 198.43(120.19~306.73) | 208.74(150.33~274.34) |
| 50~69岁 | 796.09(525.73~1 078.50) | 634.55(379.09~991.13) | 718.22(521.61~924.22) |
| ≥70岁 | 3 504.87(2 418.62~4 676.38) | 3 138.69(2 038.61~4 886.79) | 3 296.35(2 440.63~4 296.09) |
| 变量 | 2023年 |
| 男性 | 女性 | 总体 |
| ASIR | | | |
| 中国 | 2 235.28(2 061.04~2 443.36) | 1 882.03(1 736.17~2 052.36) | 2 050.45(1 891.31~2 235.71) |
| <5岁 | 5 654.80(4 779.45~6 632.89） | 3 515.53(2 863.73~4 159.13) | 4 658.02(3 894.82~5 471.68) |
| 5~14岁 | 2 138.11(1 652.32~2 798.49) | 2 133.66(1 655.43~2 671.73) | 2 136.03(1 651.04~2 681.60) |
| 15~49岁 | 639.72(566.67~720.66) | 761.59(667.33~870.15) | 697.96(617.85~789.04) |
| 50~69 | 2 158.15(1 933.87~2 395.30) | 2 049.19(1 821.49~2 305.20) | 2 103.68(1 878.52~2 331.64) |
| ≥70岁 | 9 156.39(8 286.72~10 150.94) | 7 415.4(6 630.67~8 282.33) | 8 217.77(7 391.42~9 088.55) |
| ASMR | | | |
| 中国 | 11.70(8.15~17.08) | 6.99(5.06~9.38) | 9.11(7.00~11.37) |
| <5岁 | 8.72(6.06~11.43) | 6.79(5.42~8.73) | 7.82(6.23~9.59) |
| 5~14岁 | 1.2(0.76~1.79) | 0.95(0.62~1.48) | 1.08(0.74~1.49) |
| 15~49岁 | 1.2(0.80~1.74) | 0.53(0.35~0.78) | 0.88(0.63~0.19) |
| 50~69岁 | 7.82(5.30~12.38) | 3.42(2.20~5.13) | 5.62(4.11~7.87) |
| ≥70岁 | 116.88(78.69~175.30) | 81.38(55.79~115.07) | 97.74(72.43~128.20) |
| ASDR | | | |
| 中国 | 286.22(218.88~379.06) | 180.94(142.30~222.92) | 232.15(188.27~279.96) |
| <5岁 | 784.33(546.87~1 025.28) | 608.44(487.41~780.64) | 702.37(561.61~859.22) |
| 5~14岁 | 100.20(64.67~148.11) | 79.59(52.72~122.18) | 90.54(62.14~122.95) |
| 15~49岁 | 64.53(42.74~93.46) | 29.76(19.54~43.38) | 47.92(34.27~64.37) |
| 50~69岁 | 230.29(157.45~363.60) | 100.39(65.08~148.11) | 165.35(121.44~233.06) |
| ≥70岁 | 1 469.48(987.86~2 187.19) | 946.22(644.56~1 331.49) | 1 187.37(887.38~1 557.52) |
| 变量 | 1990-2023 EAPC |
| 男性 | 女性 | 总体 |
| ASIR | | | |
| 中国 | -3.46(-3.68~-3.25) | -3.43(-3.65~-3.21) | -3.46(-3.67~-3.24) |
| <5岁 | -5.50(-5.82~-5.18) | -6.50(-6.94~-6.06) | -5.82(-6.17~-5.48) |
| 5~14岁 | -2.21(-2.52~-1.90) | -1.81(-2.07~-1.54) | -2.03(-2.31~-1.74) |
| 15~49岁 | -1.31(-1.47~-1.15) | -1.21(-1.36~-1.06) | -1.26(-1.41~-1.11) |
| 50~69 | -2.27(-2.46~-2.08) | -2.50(-2.67~-2.32) | -2.38(-2.56~-2.20) |
| ≥70岁 | -1.50(-1.66~-1.34) | -2.33(-2.50~-2.16) | -1.93(-2.09~-1.77) |
| ASMR | | | |
| 中国 | -6.08(-6.34~-5.83) | -6.74(-7.03~-6.45) | -6.42(-6.68~-6.16) |
| <5岁 | -12.15(-12.89~-11.42) | -11.76(-12.60~-10.92) | -12.00(-12.77~-11.22) |
| 5~14岁 | -6.41(-6.76~-6.07) | -6.87(-7.18~-6.56) | -6.60(-6.93~-6.28) |
| 15~49岁 | -4.34(-4.72~-3.96) | -6.41(-6.81~-6.01) | -5.11(-5.51~-4.71) |
| 50~69岁 | -4.45(-4.86~-4.03) | -6.43(-6.79~-6.07) | -5.20(-5.60~-4.81) |
| ≥70岁 | -2.46(-2.61~-2.30) | -3.35(-3.49~-3.22) | -2.89(-3.02~-2.75) |
| ASDR | | | |
| 中国 | -9.10(-9.46~-8.74) | -9.45(-9.91~-8.98) | -9.29(-9.69~-8.89) |
| <5岁 | -12.14(-12.87~-11.41) | -11.76(-12.60~-10.92) | -11.99(-12.76~-11.21) |
| 5~14岁 | -6.35(-6.70~-6.01) | -6.78(-7.10~-6.46) | -6.53(-6.86~-6.20) |
| 15~49岁 | -4.64(-5.03~-4.25) | -6.62(-7.03~-6.21) | -5.39(-5.81~-4.98) |
| 50~69岁 | -4.43(-4.83~-4.03) | -6.39(-6.75~-6.04) | -5.18(-5.56~-4.79) |
| ≥70岁 | -3.11(-3.27~-2.95) | -4.05(-4.20~-3.90) | -3.54(-3.68~-3.39) |
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