To improve the accuracy of precipitation forecasts and address the limitations of traditional numerical weather prediction models in forecast precision and computational efficiency, a meteorological large model was combined with a deep learning post-processing approach was combined. A case study was conducted for precipitation forecasts over Shaanxi Province during 2008—2018. Based on meteorological variable fields output by the FourCastNet model, a pre-trained model mapping meteorological fields to regional precipitation was constructed using Bayesian-optimized convolutional neural networks (CNN)/long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. The results indicate that this method outperforms traditional numerical weather prediction models in terms of spatial resolution and forecast accuracy. The regionally fine-tuned forecasts more accurately capture the spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation. Furthermore, the Bayesian-optimized deep learning post-processing algorithm effectively mitigates the impact of initial field biases on forecast results. These findings demonstrate the significant potential of integrating meteorological large models with deep learning post-processing algorithms for accurate precipitation forecasting, providing scientific support for disaster prevention, agricultural production, and water resource management.
| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |