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Fuel Consumption Prediction of General Aviation Aircraft Based on Regression Tree and Random Forest
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Ming-qiang CHEN, Wen-hao ZHENG, Yan-jun SUN, Hao-dong LIN, Zhong-hang DUAN
Science Technology and Engineering | 2025, 25(7) : 3026 - 3034
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Science Technology and Engineering | 2025, 25(7): 3026-3034
Papers·Aeronautics and Astronautics
Fuel Consumption Prediction of General Aviation Aircraft Based on Regression Tree and Random Forest
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Ming-qiang CHEN, Wen-hao ZHENG, Yan-jun SUN, Hao-dong LIN, Zhong-hang DUAN
Affiliations
  • School of Flight Technology, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China
Published: 2025-03-08 doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2403356
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The selection of variables affecting fuel consumption in the existing studies usually has no clear criteria, and it is difficult to combine the research results with actual flight. The flight training data of a Cessna 172 was used to predict the fuel consumption during the airborne phase of general aviation trainer aircraft. Firstly, based on the authors’ flight experience as well as correlation analysis, the features that influence fuel flow rate were selected from the pilot’s operational perspective. Secondly, a regression tree model was used to predict fuel flow rate under different flight conditions, correlating the aircraft’s actual flight status with the predicted fuel flow rate, in order to facilitate subsequent research on specific fuel-saving strategies from the flight technique perspective. Finally, a random forest model optimized with hyperparameter tuning was used to predict the fuel flow rate. The experimental results show that the accuracy of the model used is better than that of the existing research results, with a mean absolute error of 0.286 gallon/h, a root mean squared error of 0.496 gallon/h, a residual sum of squares of 0.968 4, and a mean absolute percentage error of 4.00%.

regression tree  /  random forest  /  machine learning  /  fuel flow rate prediction  /  Cessna 172  /  data recording system
Ming-qiang CHEN, Wen-hao ZHENG, Yan-jun SUN, Hao-dong LIN, Zhong-hang DUAN. Fuel Consumption Prediction of General Aviation Aircraft Based on Regression Tree and Random Forest[J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2025 , 25 (7) : 3026 -3034 . DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2403356
Year 2025 volume 25 Issue 7
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Article Info
doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2403356
  • Receive Date:2024-05-07
  • Online Date:2026-03-30
  • Published:2025-03-08
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  • Received:2024-05-07
  • Revised:2024-08-01
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    School of Flight Technology, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan 618307, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
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种数
Number of
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占总种数比例
Percentage of
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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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