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Reliability Assessment of Oil Transfer Station Process System Based on T-S Fault Tree and Bayesian Network
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Da-qing WANG1, Xiao-li WANG2, Ping LIANG1
Science Technology and Engineering | 2025, 25(22) : 9621 - 9630
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Science Technology and Engineering | 2025, 25(22): 9621-9630
Papers·Environmental and Safe Science
Reliability Assessment of Oil Transfer Station Process System Based on T-S Fault Tree and Bayesian Network
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Da-qing WANG1, Xiao-li WANG2, Ping LIANG1
Affiliations
  • 1 School of Petroleum Engineering, Chongqing University of Science & Technology, Chongqing 401331, China
  • 2 Daqing Oilfield Design Institute Co., Ltd., Daqing 163712, China
Published: 2025-08-08 doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2404466
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Oil transfer station plays a crucial role in the oil and gas gathering and transportation system of an oilfield, ensuring stable production and continuous supply of oil and gas. However, given the complexity of its process system and the ambiguous uncertainty surrounding fault modes and relationships, a systematic reliability assessment method integrating T-S fuzzy fault trees with BNs(Bayesian networks) was proposed. Firstly, a T-S fuzzy fault tree was established based on T-S gates and their descriptive rules, which is subsequently converted into a Bayesian network model. Secondly, leveraging limited fault samples and general data sources, Bayesian updating estimation was employed to determine the failure rates of basic events, addressing the uncertainty inherent in fault sample data. Lastly, the T-S fault tree and BN model were synergistically utilized for forward reasoning to predict the reliability of the process system and the contribution of basic events, while reverse diagnosis is conducted to pinpoint the key factors causing different fault states of the system. Research conducted on typical oil transfer station process systems has demonstrated that the proposed method can effectively predict system failure rates and diagnose weak links even under conditions of uncertainty in basic data and event relationships. This provides crucial decision support for the optimal design and reliability maintenance of complex oil and gas process systems.

T-S fuzzy fault tree  /  Bayesian network  /  Bayesian updating estimation  /  reliability assessment  /  oil transfer station
Da-qing WANG, Xiao-li WANG, Ping LIANG. Reliability Assessment of Oil Transfer Station Process System Based on T-S Fault Tree and Bayesian Network[J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2025 , 25 (22) : 9621 -9630 . DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2404466
Year 2025 volume 25 Issue 22
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Article Info
doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2404466
  • Receive Date:2024-06-14
  • Online Date:2026-02-11
  • Published:2025-08-08
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  • Received:2024-06-14
  • Revised:2025-04-15
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    1 School of Petroleum Engineering, Chongqing University of Science & Technology, Chongqing 401331, China
    2 Daqing Oilfield Design Institute Co., Ltd., Daqing 163712, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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