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Storm rainfall patterns are critical to infrastructure flood control, but the main design methods are hindered by requiring high resolution data and ignoring the impacts of climate change. Taking the typical small and medium-sized river basin (Liudong River Basin) with relatively high flood control pressure in the Karst area of southwest China over the years as an example, based on the Gamma distribution with flexible distribution characteristics and wide application, and using the duration data of the maximum 24-hour rainstorm in the past 60 years, the model performance was evaluated, the parameters of the model were determined, and the evolution characteristics of the parameters were analyzed. Based on the above results, the changing trends of rain pattern uncertainty, complexity and predictability were calculated. The results show that the model has high accuracy, and the average correlation coefficient is greater than 0.92. The evolution trend of the model parameters indicates that under the background of climate change, the rain pattern of the maximum 24-hour rainstorm shows the characteristics of decreasing shape factor and increasing scale factor. The uncertainty of rain patterns has generally increased, and the complexity and predictability show high spatial heterogeneity. The research results will provide references for optimizing the rainstorm rain pattern model and analyzing its dynamic evolution, thereby better preventing and controlling flood disasters, especially in Karst areas with high precipitation uncertainty and complex underlying surface conditions.
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| 科 Family | 属数 Number of genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) | 属 Genus | 种数 Number of species | 占总种数比例 Percentage of total species (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae | 2 | 11 | 5.26 | 鹅膏菌属 Amanita | 10 | 4.78 |
| 小菇科 Mycenaceae | 2 | 12 | 5.74 | 丝盖伞属 Inocybe | 5 | 2.39 |
| 多孔菌科 Polyporaceae | 8 | 14 | 6.70 | 蜡蘑属 Laccaria | 5 | 2.39 |
| 红菇科 Russulaceae | 3 | 23 | 11.00 | 小皮伞属 Marasmius | 6 | 2.87 |
| 小菇属 Mycena | 11 | 5.26 | ||||
| 光柄菇属 Pluteus | 5 | 2.39 | ||||
| 红菇属 Russula | 17 | 8.13 | ||||
| 栓菌属 Trametes | 5 | 2.39 |
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