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Flight Delay Prediction Based on Informer Modeling
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Xin-sheng YANG1, Chao YOU2, Cheng-yuan ZHU1
Science Technology and Engineering | 2025, 25(19) : 8282 - 8288
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Science Technology and Engineering | 2025, 25(19): 8282-8288
Papers∙Aeronautics and Astronautics
Flight Delay Prediction Based on Informer Modeling
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Xin-sheng YANG1, Chao YOU2, Cheng-yuan ZHU1
Affiliations
  • 1 School of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China
  • 2 School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300,China
Published: 2025-07-08 doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2405116
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In order to more accurately predict flight delays at different times of the year,flight delay prediction trends was investigated using operational and meteorological data from Atlanta Airport in the United States for the year 2023. A CA-PCA-Informer flight delay prediction model,incorporating correlation analysis (CA),principal component analysis (PCA),and the Informer model,was proposed. Mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) were utilized as evaluation metrics to assess the prediction error. The findings reveal that the CA-PCA-Informer model outperforms simpler combined models,demonstrating the lowest error compared to the CA-PCA-LSTM and CA-PCA-GRU models,with MAE and RMSE reductions of 20.2%~20.7% and 12.7%~14.1%,respectively. The CA-PCA-Informer model is particularly effective for one-hour ahead predictions,providing decision-makers with more accurate flight delay trends to enhance efficient flight operations.

civil aviation transportation  /  flight delay prediction  /  Informer model  /  principal component analysis  /  neural networks
Xin-sheng YANG, Chao YOU, Cheng-yuan ZHU. Flight Delay Prediction Based on Informer Modeling[J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2025 , 25 (19) : 8282 -8288 . DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2405116
Year 2025 volume 25 Issue 19
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Article Info
doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2405116
  • Receive Date:2024-07-08
  • Online Date:2025-12-22
  • Published:2025-07-08
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  • Received:2024-07-08
  • Revised:2025-12-23
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Affiliations
    1 School of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China
    2 School of Transportation Science and Engineering, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300,China
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