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Determination of Ground Risk Buffer for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Based on Monte Carlo Simulation
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Ling-hang MENG, Chun-yan WU, Lei-zhang QIAO, Hong-yang ZHANG
Science Technology and Engineering | 2025, 25(3) : 1290 - 1297
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Science Technology and Engineering | 2025, 25(3): 1290-1297
Papers·Aeronautics and Astronautics
Determination of Ground Risk Buffer for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Based on Monte Carlo Simulation
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Ling-hang MENG, Chun-yan WU, Lei-zhang QIAO, Hong-yang ZHANG
Affiliations
  • College of Air traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China
Published: 2025-01-28 doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2402188
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The accuracy and confidence level of the unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) landing range are of great significance for objectively assessing the UAV’s ground risk. The uncertain wind field and complex electromagnetic environment are the main causes of uncertainty regarding UAV failure and landing range. Given the particle assumption in the case of complete failure of the UAV, firstly, a dynamic model of the UAV trajectory descent with the initial position and velocity as the boundary value and the wind speed vector and the initial position as random variables was constructed, and the failure and landing range of the UAV were determined by Monte Carlo simulation. Secondly, a geometric method for determining the envelope of the UAV ground risk buffer was proposed, and the quantitative determination of the ground risk buffer of the entire UAV track was realized. Finally, the method proposed was verified by taking an aerial inspection route as example and compared with the buffer protection area of the UAV in different wind fields and under various operating conditions, the effect of uncertain wind field and its operating conditions on the ground crash range of the UAV was studied, and the ground risk buffer zone under different operating conditions was established. The results show that falling at higher speed and higher altitudes under stronger winds yields a wider impacting area and a larger ground risk buffer.

unmanned aerial vehicle  /  ground risk buffer  /  Monte Carlo simulation  /  uncertain wind field  /  track error
Ling-hang MENG, Chun-yan WU, Lei-zhang QIAO, Hong-yang ZHANG. Determination of Ground Risk Buffer for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles Based on Monte Carlo Simulation[J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2025 , 25 (3) : 1290 -1297 . DOI: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2402188
Year 2025 volume 25 Issue 3
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doi: 10.12404/j.issn.1671-1815.2402188
  • Receive Date:2024-03-27
  • Online Date:2025-07-29
  • Published:2025-01-28
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  • Received:2024-03-27
  • Revised:2024-06-05
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    College of Air traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Number of
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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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