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Prognostic factor and its predictive value of patients with Wilson's disease-related acute-on-chronic liver failure
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Lu-Lu Tang, Huai-Zhen Chen, Jing Zhang, Ting Dong, Jun Li, Hai-Lin Jiang, Wen-Ming Yang*
Medical Journal of Chinese People’s Liberation Army | 2024, 49(2) : 131 - 136
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Medical Journal of Chinese People’s Liberation Army | 2024, 49(2): 131-136
Clinical Research
Prognostic factor and its predictive value of patients with Wilson's disease-related acute-on-chronic liver failure
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Lu-Lu Tang, Huai-Zhen Chen, Jing Zhang, Ting Dong, Jun Li, Hai-Lin Jiang, Wen-Ming Yang*
Affiliations
  • Department of Encephalopathy, the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, Anhui 230031, China
Published: 2024-02-28 doi: 10.11855/j.issn.0577-7402.1940.2023.0316
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Objective To explore the prognostic factor and its predictive value of patients with Wilson disease-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (WD-ACLF). Methods The clinical data of 70 patients diagnosed as WD-ACLF admitted to the Department of Encephalopathy of the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui University of Chinese Medicine from January 1, 2017 to January 1, 2022 were retrospectively collected. According to the 12-week prognosis, patients were divided into survival group (n=36) and death group (n=34). The data of the two groups were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic analysis to screen the prognostic risk factors and evaluate their predictive value. The model coefficient is omnibus tested, and the model-fitting degree is evaluated by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test. ROC curve was used to analyze the prognostic value for WD-ACLF between the new model and chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score. Results A total of 70 WD-ACLF patients were enrolled in present study, including 36 cases in survival group [22 males and 14 females with median age of 30.0 (17.3, 40.0)] and 34 cases in death group [25 males and 9 females with median age of 34.0 (28.8, 41.0)]. Univariate analysis showed that the course of disease, prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT) were shorter in survival group than that in death group, the white blood cells (WBC), international normalized ratio (INR), aspartate transaminase (AST), total bilirubin (TBIL), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), creatinine (Cre) and ceruloplasmin (CER) levels and the proportion of infection, ascites, and upper gastrointestinal bleeding were lower in survival group than those in death group, however, the proportion of infection, ascites and upper digestive bleeding in the survival group were lower than those in the death group. Meanwhile, the red blood cells (RBC), hemoglobin (Hb), Na+ and total cholesterol (TC) level in the survival group were higher than those in the death group (P<0.05 or P<0.01). The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that disease course (OR=1.176, 95%CI 1.043-1.325), INR (OR=7.635, 95%CI 1.767-32.980), TBIL (OR=1.012, 95%CI 1.003-1.021), and upper gastrointestinal bleeding (OR=11.654, 95%CI 1.029-131.980) were independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of WD-ACLF (P<0.05). Based on the results of logistic regression analysis, a joint model for predicting the prognosis of WD-ACLF was established. The AUC of the model for evaluating the prognosis of WD-ACLF was 0.941, which was greater than the CLIF-SOFA score (AUC=0.802), MELD score (AUC=0.897), and CTP score (AUC=0.722). Conclusions The course of disease, TBIL, INR, and upper gastrointestinal bleeding are risk factors that affect the prognosis of WD-ACLF. The prognosis model established based on this can more accurately predict the prognosis of WD-ACLF patients, and its predictive value is superior to CLIF-SOFA score, MELD score, and CTP score.

Wilson disease  /  acute-on-chronic liver failure  /  prognosis  /  chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment  /  model for end-stage liver disease  /  Child-Turcotte-Pugh
Lu-Lu Tang, Huai-Zhen Chen, Jing Zhang, Ting Dong, Jun Li, Hai-Lin Jiang, Wen-Ming Yang. Prognostic factor and its predictive value of patients with Wilson's disease-related acute-on-chronic liver failure[J]. Medical Journal of Chinese People’s Liberation Army, 2024 , 49 (2) : 131 -136 . DOI: 10.11855/j.issn.0577-7402.1940.2023.0316
  • National Natural Science Foundation of China(81973825)
  • Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province(2208085MH270)
  • Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province(2108085QH366)
  • Key Project of Anhui Provincial Education Department(KJ2021A0547)
Year 2024 volume 49 Issue 2
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doi: 10.11855/j.issn.0577-7402.1940.2023.0316
  • Receive Date:2022-09-14
  • Online Date:2025-11-23
  • Published:2024-02-28
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  • Received:2022-09-14
  • Accepted:2022-10-15
Funding
National Natural Science Foundation of China(81973825)
Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province(2208085MH270)
Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province(2108085QH366)
Key Project of Anhui Provincial Education Department(KJ2021A0547)
Affiliations
    Department of Encephalopathy, the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, Anhui 230031, China

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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
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Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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