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Selection of ground motion parameters based on machine learning and damage data from the Great East Japan Earthquake
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Sui LI1, Zifa WANG2, 3, 1, Dengke ZHAO2, 3, Zhaodong WANG2, 3, Zhaoyan LI2, 3
Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Dynamics | 2025, 45(5) : 88 - 99
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Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Dynamics | 2025, 45(5): 88-99
Research Paper
Selection of ground motion parameters based on machine learning and damage data from the Great East Japan Earthquake
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Sui LI1, Zifa WANG2, 3, 1, Dengke ZHAO2, 3, Zhaodong WANG2, 3, Zhaoyan LI2, 3
Affiliations
  • 1.School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Henan University, Kaifeng 475004, China
  • 2.Key Laboratory of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration, Institute of Engineering Mechanics, China Earthquake Administration, Harbin 150080, China
  • 3.Key Laboratory of Earthquake Disaster Mitigation, Ministry of Emergency Management, Harbin 150080, China
Published: 2025-10-22 doi: 10.13197/j.eeed.2025.0509
Outline
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Ground motion parameters quantify the intensity of ground motion and their impact on building structures, making the selection of appropriate parameters crucial for pre-earthquake seismic design and post-earthquake damage assessment. Ground motion parameters and structural seismic responses are often statistically related through traditional correlation analysis and regression methods. However, data are mostly sourced from numerical simulations, which makes it difficult to capture the true nonlinear mapping relationship between the two. Therefore, this paper collected and organized nearly 1.28 million actual damage records from the Great East Japan Earthquake on March 11, 2011, and the complex mapping relationship between ground motion parameters and building damage levels was established based on four machine learning classification models, namely, XGBoost (eXtreme gradient boosting), RF(random forest), LightGBM (light gradient boosting machine), and CatBoost (categorical boosting). The SMOTE oversampling and Bayesian hyperparameter optimization algorithms were introduced to optimize the model, and the optimal combination of seven ground motion parameters was selected using two methods for evaluating feature importance. The results indicate that the XGBoost algorithm performs the best, with an overall accuracy of 71.39% on the test set. The optimal combination of ground motion parameters includs PGA, Td, VSI, PGD, PGV/PGA, PGV, and Sa. The amplitude, spectrum, and duration parameters of the ground motion show a strong correlation with post-earthquake building damage, while the cumulative energy parameters exhibit a weaker correlation. Finally, an earthquake loss prediction model based on the XGBoost algorithm was established using actual damage data from three earthquakes in New Zealand, validating the completeness, reliability, and regional generalization capability of the selected parameter combination. The research results can provide a theoretical basis and engineering reference for the seismic design of buildings and earthquake risk assessment.

earthquake loss data  /  machine learning  /  building damage level  /  optimal ground motion parameter combination  /  feature importance
Sui LI, Zifa WANG, Dengke ZHAO, Zhaodong WANG, Zhaoyan LI. Selection of ground motion parameters based on machine learning and damage data from the Great East Japan Earthquake[J]. Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Dynamics, 2025 , 45 (5) : 88 -99 . DOI: 10.13197/j.eeed.2025.0509
Year 2025 volume 45 Issue 5
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Article Info
doi: 10.13197/j.eeed.2025.0509
  • Receive Date:2024-10-09
  • Online Date:2026-03-20
  • Published:2025-10-22
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  • Received:2024-10-09
  • Revised:2024-11-06
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Affiliations
    1.School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Henan University, Kaifeng 475004, China
    2.Key Laboratory of Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration, Institute of Engineering Mechanics, China Earthquake Administration, Harbin 150080, China
    3.Key Laboratory of Earthquake Disaster Mitigation, Ministry of Emergency Management, Harbin 150080, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
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Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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