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Short-term Wind Direction Prediction Based on Laser Wind Measurement Radar and Improved NESN
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Xianshuai BU1, Shan HE1, 2
Electric Drive | 2024, 54(12) : 79 - 85
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Electric Drive | 2024, 54(12): 79-85
Short-term Wind Direction Prediction Based on Laser Wind Measurement Radar and Improved NESN
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Xianshuai BU1, Shan HE1, 2
Affiliations
  • 1 School of Electrical Engineering,Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830017,Xinjiang,China
  • 2 Engineering Research Center of Ministry of Education for Renewable Energy Power Generation and Grid Connection Control,Urumqi 830017,Xinjiang,China
Published: 2024-12-20 doi: 10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd24825
Outline
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In order to improve the accuracy and stability of short-term wind direction prediction,a wind direction prediction method based on lidar wind data and an improved nonlinear echo state network (NESN) model was proposed.First of all,wind direction data 100 meters ahead of the wind turbine was obtained by laser wind detection radar. Secondly,the multivariate polynomial function was used to construct the nonlinear relation of the internal state of the reserve pool,the order of the weight matrix and the complexity of model calculation were reduced.Finally,the prediction model was established and the simulation prediction was carried out on different lidar data sets.The results show that compared with the nonlinear echo state network and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS),the mean absolute error (MAE),root mean square error (RMSE),normalized mean absolute error (NMAE)and normalized root mean square error (NRMSE)of the improved NESN model are significantly reduced,and the prediction accuracy and stability are improved.The accuracy of the wind turbine alignment the wind direction is improved and the mechanical loss of yaw is reduced.

laser wind measurement radar  /  wind prediction  /  nonlinear echo state network (NESN)  /  yaw
Xianshuai BU, Shan HE. Short-term Wind Direction Prediction Based on Laser Wind Measurement Radar and Improved NESN[J]. Electric Drive, 2024 , 54 (12) : 79 -85 . DOI: 10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd24825
Year 2024 volume 54 Issue 12
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Article Info
doi: 10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd24825
  • Receive Date:2022-12-01
  • Online Date:2025-12-10
  • Published:2024-12-20
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History
  • Received:2022-12-01
  • Revised:2023-01-17
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    1 School of Electrical Engineering,Xinjiang University,Urumqi 830017,Xinjiang,China
    2 Engineering Research Center of Ministry of Education for Renewable Energy Power Generation and Grid Connection Control,Urumqi 830017,Xinjiang,China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

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Number of
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鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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