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Construction of the critical nitrogen concentration dilution curve of flue-cured tobacco based on accumulated temperature
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Li-wei LIU1, Yang ZHANG2, Yang LIU3, Yu-hai DU3, Yu ZHANG1, Chen-yang SUO1, Qiang-wen WU1, Jiu-zhou LI1, Quan-she WANG1, Hui-feng YAN1, *
Journal of Plant Nutrition and Fertilizers | 2026, 32(5) : 1123 - 1134
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Journal of Plant Nutrition and Fertilizers | 2026, 32(5): 1123-1134
Research paper
Construction of the critical nitrogen concentration dilution curve of flue-cured tobacco based on accumulated temperature
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Li-wei LIU1, Yang ZHANG2, Yang LIU3, Yu-hai DU3, Yu ZHANG1, Chen-yang SUO1, Qiang-wen WU1, Jiu-zhou LI1, Quan-she WANG1, Hui-feng YAN1, *
Affiliations
  • 1Key Laboratory of Tobacco Biology and Processing, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs / Institute of Tobacco, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Qingdao, Shandong 266101, China
  • 2China Tobacco Shandong Industrial Co., Ltd, Jinan, Shandong 250014, China
  • 3Weifang Tobacco Co., Ltd., Weifang, Shandong 261205, China
Published: 2026-05-25 doi: 10.11674/zwyf.2025365
Outline
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Objectives

Critical nitrogen dilution curves (CNDCs) have been constructed for nitrogen nutrition diagnosis in many crops. However, the acquisition of the main variable factor, biomass, requires destructive sampling, which significantly reduces the practical feasibility of these curves. We attempted to construct a critical nitrogen dilution curve for flue-cured tobacco using accumulated growing degree days (AGDD, referred to as the “AGDD curve”) and compared the parameter values with those of the curve using shoot dry matter accumulation (referred to as the “dry matter curve”).

Methods

The field experiment was conducted in Linqu County, Shandong Province, in 2023, using the flue-cured tobacco cultivar Zhongchuan 208. The experiment employed a two-factor (planting date and nitrogen application rate) complete block design. The two transplanting dates were April 30 and May 10. The nitrogen application rates included five levels: N1 (0 kg/hm2), N2 (45 kg/hm2), N3 (90 kg/hm2), N4 (135 kg/hm2), and N5 (180 kg/hm2). Aboveground dry matter accumulation in tobacco plants was measured at key growth stages, including the rosette, vigorous growth, bud emergence, topping, and maturity stages. Using a hierarchical Bayesian framework model and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, two critical nitrogen dilution curves for the aboveground dry matter accumulation of flue-cured tobacco were constructed. One curve was driven by accumulated temperature (T-curve), and the other by aboveground dry matter accumulation (M-curve). The ability of the two curves to differentiate between nitrogen-limited and non-nitrogen-limited conditions was compared. The critical nitrogen concentration and nitrogen nutrition index were calculated using measured data and fitted using the two curves to test the accuracy of the two curves.

Results

Both planting date and N application rate significantly affected the aboveground dry matter accumulation of flue-cured tobacco. The critical nitrogen dilution curves constructed with aboveground dry matter accumulation (PDM) and accumulated growing degree days (AGDD) as driving variables, were Nc = 3.00 PDM−0.18 and Nc = 2.32 AGDD−0.33, respectively. For the M-curve, the 95% posterior distribution ranges for parameters A1 and A2 were 2.71−3.40 and 0.10−0.29, with mean values of 3.00 and 0.18, respectively. The curve’s uncertainty level ranged from 0.14% to 1.76%, with relative uncertainties for A1 and A2 being 0.23% and 1.12%, respectively. The discrimination ability between the nitrogen surplus group and the nitrogen deficit group was 75%. The normalized root mean square error (n-RMSE) of the nitrogen nutrition index was 23%. For the T-curve: the 95% posterior distribution ranges for parameters A1 and A2 were 2.23−2.41 and 0.23−0.44, with mean values of 2.32 and 0.33, respectively. The curve’s uncertainty level ranged from 0.12% to 1.12%, with relative uncertainties for A1 and A2 being 0.08% and 0.62%, respectively. The discrimination ability between the nitrogen surplus group and the nitrogen deficit group was 82%. The normalized root mean square error (n-RMSE) of the nitrogen nutrition index was 13%.

Conclusions

Compared to the dry matter-based curve, the accumulated temperature-based curve offers clearer differentiation between nitrogen deficit and nitrogen surplus conditions. The fitted nitrogen nutrition index demonstrates a stronger linear correlation with the actual nitrogen nutrition index, evidenced by a lower normalized root mean square error (n-RMSE) of 13%, indicating higher simulation accuracy. Given the practicality and accessibility of accumulated temperature data, the critical nitrogen dilution curve developed using accumulated temperature as the driving variable is well-suited for non-destructive diagnosis of nitrogen status in flue-cured tobacco.

flue-cured tobacco  /  critical nitrogen dilution curve  /  accumulated growth degree days  /  shoot dry matter accumulation  /  nitrogen nutrition diagnosis  /  Bayesian statistics
Li-wei LIU, Yang ZHANG, Yang LIU, Yu-hai DU, Yu ZHANG, Chen-yang SUO, Qiang-wen WU, Jiu-zhou LI, Quan-she WANG, Hui-feng YAN. Construction of the critical nitrogen concentration dilution curve of flue-cured tobacco based on accumulated temperature[J]. Journal of Plant Nutrition and Fertilizers, 2026 , 32 (5) : 1123 -1134 . DOI: 10.11674/zwyf.2025365
Year 2026 volume 32 Issue 5
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Article Info
doi: 10.11674/zwyf.2025365
  • Receive Date:2025-08-21
  • Online Date:2026-07-16
  • Published:2026-05-25
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History
  • Received:2025-08-21
  • Accepted:2026-01-19
Affiliations
    1Key Laboratory of Tobacco Biology and Processing, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs / Institute of Tobacco, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Qingdao, Shandong 266101, China
    2China Tobacco Shandong Industrial Co., Ltd, Jinan, Shandong 250014, China
    3Weifang Tobacco Co., Ltd., Weifang, Shandong 261205, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数

Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)

Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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