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Prediction of potential suitable habitats of Moroccan locust Dociostaurus maroccanus in Xinjiang, China
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Xiao Chang1, Jinlong Ren2, Li Zhao2, Jun Lin3, Yujia Qin4, Shiqian Feng1, Zhihong Li4, Alua Rysbekova5, Niyazbekov Zhan5, Xiongbing Tu1
Journal of Plant Protection | 2026, 53(2) : 573 - 584
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Journal of Plant Protection | 2026, 53(2): 573-584
• Research reports •
Prediction of potential suitable habitats of Moroccan locust Dociostaurus maroccanus in Xinjiang, China
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Xiao Chang1, Jinlong Ren2, Li Zhao2, Jun Lin3, Yujia Qin4, Shiqian Feng1, Zhihong Li4, Alua Rysbekova5, Niyazbekov Zhan5, Xiongbing Tu1
Affiliations
  • 1.State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China
  • 2.Key Laboratory of Pest Monitoring and Safety Control on Crops and Forest, College of Agronomy, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
  • 3.Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Grassland Biological Disaster Prevention and Control Center, Urumqi 830000, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
  • 4.Department of Plant Biosecurity, College of Plant Protection, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China
  • 5.Kazakh Scientific Research Institute of Plant Protection and Quarantine, Almaty 050000, Kazakhstan
Published: 2026-04-30 doi: 10.13802/j.cnki.zwbhxb.2026.2025112
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To clarify the potential suitable habitats of Moroccan locust Dociostaurus maroccanus, which was first recorded in June 2025 in Huocheng County, Ili Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (hereafter Xinjiang), global occurrence data and environmental variables were used to predict its potential distribution in Xinjiang using the MaxEnt model under current climatic conditions and three future climate scenarios, namely SSP126 (low forcing), SSP245 (moderate forcing), and SSP585 (high forcing). The results showed that annual mean temperature, isothermality, minimum temperature of coldest month, mean temperature the driest quarter, mean temperature of the coldest quarter, precipitation of the warmest quarter, land cover classification system, and elevation were the key environmental variables affecting the distribution of D. maroccanus. Under current climatic conditions, potential suitable habitats of D. maroccanus were distributed throughout Xinjiang, with a total area of 80.98×104 km2, accounting for 48.78% of the total area of Xinjiang. High suitable areas were predominantly located in the Ili Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture. By 2061—2080, the potential suitable habitats of D. maroccanus in Xinjiang are projected to expand outward overall, and the area of highly suitable habitats is expected to increase by 85.71%, 181.95%, and 224.44% under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios, respectively. These studies indicate that the risk of establishment of D. maroccanus in Xinjiang, China, is extremely high, and a scientific and efficient early warning, monitoring, and risk management system is urgently needed.

Dociostaurus maroccanus  /  Xinjiang  /  MaxEnt model  /  potential suitable habitat  /  climate change
Xiao Chang, Jinlong Ren, Li Zhao, Jun Lin, Yujia Qin, Shiqian Feng, Zhihong Li, Alua Rysbekova, Niyazbekov Zhan, Xiongbing Tu. Prediction of potential suitable habitats of Moroccan locust Dociostaurus maroccanus in Xinjiang, China[J]. Journal of Plant Protection, 2026 , 53 (2) : 573 -584 . DOI: 10.13802/j.cnki.zwbhxb.2026.2025112
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Year 2026 volume 53 Issue 2
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Article Info
doi: 10.13802/j.cnki.zwbhxb.2026.2025112
  • Receive Date：2025-08-04
  • Online Date：2026-05-27
  • Published：2026-04-30
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  • Received：2025-08-04
Funding
Affiliations
    1.State Key Laboratory for Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests, Institute of Plant Protection, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing 100193, China
    2.Key Laboratory of Pest Monitoring and Safety Control on Crops and Forest, College of Agronomy, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
    3.Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Grassland Biological Disaster Prevention and Control Center, Urumqi 830000, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, China
    4.Department of Plant Biosecurity, College of Plant Protection, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China
    5.Kazakh Scientific Research Institute of Plant Protection and Quarantine, Almaty 050000, Kazakhstan
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family		 属数
Number of
genus		 种数
Number of
species		 占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)		 属
Genus		 种数
Number of
species		 占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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