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Change of forced vital capacity-to-weight index and future trend forecasting among Chinese Han students aged 7-18 during 2000-2019
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Yun ZHOU1, 2, Siying ZHANG1, Yumei ZHONG1, Lijun TANG1, Wenge LI1, Xiulong WU*, 1, 2
Chinese Journal of School Health | 2025, 46(9) : 1312 - 1317
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Chinese Journal of School Health | 2025, 46(9): 1312-1317
• Growth, Development and Surveillance •
Change of forced vital capacity-to-weight index and future trend forecasting among Chinese Han students aged 7-18 during 2000-2019
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Yun ZHOU1, 2, Siying ZHANG1, Yumei ZHONG1, Lijun TANG1, Wenge LI1, Xiulong WU*, 1, 2
Affiliations
  • 1Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui Province, China
Published: 2025-09-25 doi: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025267
Outline
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Objective

To explore the long-term trend of forced vital capacity-to-weight index (FWI) among Chinese Han students aged 7-18 from 2000 to 2019, and to predict its changes over the next decade, so as to provide scientific evidences for targeted health interventions and school health policies.

Methods

Based on the data of the five Chinese National Surveys on Students' Constitution and Health conducted from 2000 to 2019, a total of 216 500, 233 565, 215 267, 214 256 and 212 632 Han students aged 7-18 were included, respectively. The long-term trend of FWI among students was analyzed, and the GM (1, 1) grey model was used to predict FWI changes over the next decade. Subgroup analyses were conducted by sex, age, and urban-rural residence.

Results

The FWI levels of Chinese Han students aged 7-18 were (55.30±11.47)(47.43±11.92)(48.11±12.46)(48.75±12.81)(50.93±13.11)mL/kg in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2014, and 2019, respectively. The FWI of Chinese Han students showed a decreasing-then-increasing trend from 2000 to 2019, reaching the lowest point of approximately 47.03 mL/kg around 2006, and was projected to recover to 52.88 mL/kg by 2029. Boys had higher FWI for each year and the total level than girls from 2000 to 2019(t=72.58-304.66), and the decline between 2000 and 2005 was smaller in boys (13.1%) than in girls (15.4%). However, the gender gap gradually narrowed and was projected to reduce to 5.36 mL/kg by 2029. FWI increased with age, with the largest difference observed in 2014 between the 7-9 and 16-18 age groups (8.62 mL/kg). Before 2014, urban boys had slightly lower FWI than rural boys; the gap narrowed thereafter, and their FWI levels were expected to become similar by 2029. Urban girls generally had higher FWI than rural girls, and the urban-rural gap showed an increasing trend. By 2029, the largest difference was projected to occur in the 13-15 age group, reaching 7.74 mL/kg.

Conclusions

The FWI of Chinese Han students showed a trend of initial decline followed by a gradual increase from 2000 to 2019, with notable differences across sex, age, and urban-rural residence. Greater attention should be paid to the respiratory health of rural girls, and effective measures should be taken to reduce urban-rural disparities.

Forced vital capacity-to-weight index  /  Models, statistical  /  Students  /  Growth and development
周运, 张偲莹, 钟玉梅, 唐丽君, 李文革, 吴修龙. 中国汉族7~18岁学生2000—2019年肺活量体重指数变化及未来趋势预测. 中国学校卫生, 2025 , 46 (9) : 1312 -1317 . DOI: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025267
Yun ZHOU, Siying ZHANG, Yumei ZHONG, Lijun TANG, Wenge LI, Xiulong WU. Change of forced vital capacity-to-weight index and future trend forecasting among Chinese Han students aged 7-18 during 2000-2019[J]. Chinese Journal of School Health, 2025 , 46 (9) : 1312 -1317 . DOI: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025267
Year 2025 volume 46 Issue 9
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doi: 10.16835/j.cnki.1000-9817.2025267
  • Receive Date:2024-11-12
  • Online Date:2026-11-06
  • Published:2025-09-25
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  • Received:2024-11-12
  • Revised:2025-02-21
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    1Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui Province, China
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表12种不同金属材料的力学参数
科
Family
属数
Number of
genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of
total species (%)
属
Genus
种数
Number of
species
占总种数比例
Percentage of total
species (%)
鹅膏菌科Amanitaceae 2 11 5.26 鹅膏菌属 Amanita 10 4.78
小菇科 Mycenaceae 2 12 5.74 丝盖伞属 Inocybe 5 2.39
多孔菌科 Polyporaceae 8 14 6.70 蜡蘑属 Laccaria 5 2.39
红菇科 Russulaceae 3 23 11.00 小皮伞属 Marasmius 6 2.87
小菇属 Mycena 11 5.26
光柄菇属 Pluteus 5 2.39
红菇属 Russula 17 8.13
栓菌属 Trametes 5 2.39
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